Braves vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 29

Updated Jun. 29, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Max Fried and the Atlanta Braves will hit the field against the Pittsburgh Pirates and starting pitcher Paul Skenes on Saturday at Truist Park. The Braves are favored in this one, at -143, while the underdog Pirates have +120 odds to upset. Atlanta is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The matchup's over/under is listed at 7.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, June 29, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
How to Watch on TV: BSSE

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves	-143	+120	7.5	-102	-118	-1.5	+153	-183

Braves vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Braves 4, Pirates 3
Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Braves 58%, Pirates 42%

Braves vs. Pirates Betting Insights

This season, the Braves have won 41 out of the 70 games, or 58.6%, in which they've been favored.
Atlanta has entered 51 games this season favored by -143 or more and is 31-20 in those contests.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 58.8% chance of a victory for the Braves.
The Pirates have been victorious in 23, or 48.9%, of the 47 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win nine times in 22 chances when named as an underdog of at least +120 or worse on the moneyline.
The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

The Braves were the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and finished 4-3 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Braves' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	12
ERA	2.41
K/9	10.0

Braves Player Insights

Marcell Ozuna is the bat to watch in the Braves lineup, leading the team in batting average (.304), home runs (21), and RBI (67).
Among all hitters in the majors, Ozuna's home run total ranks him fifth, and his RBI tally ranks him third.
Ozzie Albies is batting .253 with 23 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 20 walks.
Albies ranks 172nd in home runs in baseball, and 68th in RBI.
Albies has two straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .143 with two doubles and a walk.
Matt Olson is batting .244 with 19 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 30 walks.
Austin Riley is batting .252 with 14 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 24 walks.

Braves Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Matt Olson	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+165)
Travis d'Arnaud	0.5 (-210)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+200)
Marcell Ozuna	-	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+310)	0.5 (+130)
Austin Riley	0.5 (-245)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+160)
Ozzie Albies	0.5 (-265)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+215)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 2-4 in those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
The Pirates have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.5
HR	10
ERA	4.09
K/9	8.0

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates with 13 home runs and 46 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .279.
Reynolds is 36th in homers and 30th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Reynolds carries a 24-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .395 with three doubles, four home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
Connor Joe has 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 24 walks while hitting .248.
Joe ranks 134th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 140th in RBI.
Andrew McCutchen is hitting .238 with seven doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 33 walks.
Oneil Cruz is batting .236 with 15 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 20 walks.