Braves vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 25

Updated May. 25, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Marcell Ozuna and the Atlanta Braves meet Nick Gonzales and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday at 4:05 PM ET in the second game of a three-game series. The favored Braves have -153 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Pirates, who are listed at +130. Atlanta is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 8.5 runs for the matchup.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Braves vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments as the Atlanta Braves took on the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Braves vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, May 25, 2024 at 4:05 PM ET
Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: BSSE

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves	-153	+130	8.5	-107	-112	-1.5	+109	-130

Braves vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Braves 5, Pirates 4
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Braves 51%, Pirates 49%

Braves vs. Pirates Betting Insights

The Braves have been favorites in 44 games this season and won 28 (63.6%) of those contests.
Atlanta is 18-10 this season when entering a game favored by -153 or more on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.5% chance of a victory for the Braves.
The Pirates have won in 16, or 53.3%, of the 30 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Pittsburgh has a mark of 3-3 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +130 or worse on the moneyline.
The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

The Braves played as the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and finished 3-6 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Braves' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.8
HR	12
ERA	3.64
K/9	8.7

Braves Player Insights

Ozuna is the bat to watch in the Braves lineup, leading the team in batting average (.318), home runs (15), and RBI (47).
Ozuna ranks fourth in home runs and second in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
Ronald Acuna Jr. is batting .247 with seven doubles, a triple, four home runs and 27 walks.
Acuna ranks 148th in home runs and 180th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
Acuna carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with a triple, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
Ozzie Albies is hitting .264 with 10 doubles, three home runs and 12 walks.
Michael Harris II is hitting .255 with seven doubles, a triple, five home runs and nine walks.

Learn more about this Braves vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Pirates have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.1
HR	13
ERA	4.65
K/9	8.6

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (27).
Among all hitters in the majors, Reynolds is 53rd in homers and 44th in RBI.
Reynolds carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .292 with two home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
Connor Joe has a club-best .273 batting average.
Joe is 74th in home runs and 83rd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Andrew McCutchen has seven home runs, best in the lineup.
Oneil Cruz paces the Pirates with seven home runs.