Braves vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 10

Braves vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 10

Updated Sep. 10, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET

Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Atlanta Braves take on Bryan Reynolds and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET in the final game of a three-game series. Bookmakers list the Braves as -267 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Pirates +219 moneyline odds to win. Atlanta (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The game's total is set at 10 runs.

The Atlanta Braves will hand the ball to Allan Winans and the Pirates will counter with Luis Ortiz (4-4, 4.90 ERA).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Braves vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Sunday, September 10, 2023 at 1:35 PM ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to Watch on TV: BSSE
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -267 +219 10 -109 -111 -1.5 -135 +114

Braves vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 6, Pirates 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 10 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 59%, Pirates 41%

Braves vs. Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Braves have won 84, or 65.6%, of the 128 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • This season Atlanta has won nine of its 13 games, or 69.2%, when favored by at least -267 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 72.8% chance to win.
  • The Pirates have been underdogs in 115 games this season and have come away with the win 50 times (43.5%) in those contests.
  • This year, Pittsburgh has won three of six games when listed as at least +219 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 31.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves have a 6-3 record over the nine games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Braves combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total seven times.
  • The Braves have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.8
HR 26
ERA 5.20
K/9 9.8

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Braves Player Insights

  • Acuna's .336 average leads the Braves this year. His resume also includes 35 homers and driven in 91 RBI.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Acuna is sixth in homers and 15th in RBI.
  • Acuna carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .364 with three home runs, three walks and six RBI.
  • Matt Olson has shown his power as he leads his team with 48 home runs and 118 RBI.
  • Among all major league hitters, Olson is first in home runs and first in RBI.
  • Olson enters this game looking for his seventh game in a row with a hit. During his last 10 games he is hitting .325 with a double, five home runs, four walks and six RBI.
  • Austin Riley is batting .276 with 27 doubles, a triple, 34 home runs and 48 walks.
  • Riley will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .150 with two home runs, a walk and two RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies is batting .266 with 21 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 38 walks.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Michael Harris II 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+180)
Eddie Rosario 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+155)
Travis d'Arnaud 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+175)
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+125)
Ozzie Albies 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+115)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • In nine games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Pirates had a record of 6-3.
  • The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Pirates have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 13
ERA 3.84
K/9 8.5

Pirates Player Insights

  • Reynolds paces the Pirates with 69 runs batted in while accumulating a team-best batting average of .268.
  • Reynolds' home run total places him 70th in the majors, and he ranks 65th in RBI.
  • Reynolds brings a hitting streak of 10 games into this game. In his last 10 games he is batting .325 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs, three walks and five RBI.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes is hitting .267 with 24 doubles, seven triples, 13 home runs and 26 walks.
  • Among all major league hitters, Hayes is 156th in home runs and 118th in RBI.
  • Jack Suwinski has 24 home runs, best in the lineup.
  • Connor Joe is hitting .238 with 27 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 44 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jack Suwinski 0.5 (-169) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+290) 0.5 (+140)
Joshua Palacios 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+200)
Ji-Hwan Bae 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+250)
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+155)
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+165)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Braves vs Pirates!

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