Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 7

Updated May. 7, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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The Atlanta Braves and Marcell Ozuna head into the first of a two-game series against Tyler O'Neill and the Boston Red Sox on Tuesday at Truist Park. The Braves are listed as -189 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Red Sox (+157). Atlanta is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under for the matchup has been set at 8.5 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Braves vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, May 7, 2024 at 7:20 PM ET
• Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
• How to Watch on TV: NESN

Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Braves 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 52%, Red Sox 48%

Braves vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Braves have entered the game as favorites 30 times this season and won 20, or 66.7%, of those games.
• Atlanta has a record of 12-2 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -189 on the moneyline.
• The Braves have a 65.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have won in 10, or 50%, of the 20 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have placed on Boston this season with a +157 moneyline set for this game.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 38.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

FINAL

BOS 2 · ATL 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Boston Red Sox

BOS

+1.5

+156

o8.5

Atlanta Braves

ATL

-1.5

-189

u8.5

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and they went 4-4 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Braves combined with their opponents to go over the run total one time.
• The Braves are 2-8-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Ozuna paces the Braves in home runs (10), runs batted in (33) and has racked up a team-high batting average of .306.
• Ozuna's home runs rank him second in the majors, and he ranks first in RBI.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. is batting .268 with six doubles, two home runs and 19 walks.
• Including all MLB batters, Acuna ranks 170th in home runs and 215th in RBI.
• Ozzie Albies has nine doubles, two home runs and six walks while batting .297.
• Michael Harris II is hitting .271 with six doubles, a triple, three home runs and seven walks.

Braves Team Props

Learn more about this Braves vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Red Sox have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran is batting .262 with seven doubles, five triples, a home run and 15 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .337.
• Duran's home run total puts him 237th in MLB, and he ranks 91st in RBI.
• O'Neill has hit nine home runs while batting .297. Both high-water marks on his team.
• O'Neill ranks fifth in home runs and 110th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Rafael Devers is hitting .292 with seven doubles, four home runs and 16 walks.
• Wilyer Abreu has eight doubles, a triple, two home runs and 13 walks while batting .297.

Red Sox Team Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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