Braves vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Braves vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2024 3:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Matt Olson and the Atlanta Braves will take on Salvador Perez and the Kansas City Royals at Truist Park in the final of a three-game series, on Sunday at 3:20 p.m. ET. The favored Braves have -214 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Royals, who are listed at +178. Atlanta is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this game (with -101 odds to go over and -122 odds to go under).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Royals vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Kansas City Royals and the Atlanta Braves.
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Braves vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 3:20 p.m. ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to Watch on TV: BSSE
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -214 +178 8.5 -101 -122 -1.5 -107 -113

Braves vs. Royals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Royals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 54%, Royals 46%

Braves vs. Royals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Braves have been favored 127 times and won 73, or 57.5%, of those games.
  • This season Atlanta has won 23 of its 32 games, or 71.9%, when favored by at least -214 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 68.2% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • The Royals have been underdogs in 80 games this season and have come away with the win 34 times (42.5%) in those contests.
  • This season, Kansas City has come away with a win one time in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +178 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Royals have an implied victory probability of 36% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
FINAL
KC 4 · ATL 2
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Kansas City Royals
KC
Atlanta Braves
ATL

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves went 7-2 over the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Braves have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 22
ERA 2.97
K/9 9.9

Braves Player Insights

  • Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves with 39 home runs and 102 runs batted in, while putting up a team-high batting average of .306.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Ozuna ranks fifth in home runs and 12th in RBI.
  • Olson is batting .247 with 37 doubles, a triple, 29 home runs and 71 walks.
  • Olson is 23rd in homers and 17th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Jorge Soler has 32 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 67 walks while batting .241.
  • Soler will look to build on his five-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with a double, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies is batting .251 with 28 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 25 walks.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 (-280) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+130)
Ozzie Albies 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-110) - 0.5 (+150)
Michael Harris II 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-110) - 0.5 (+180)
Ramón Laureano 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+165)
Gio Urshela 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+155)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Royals have played as underdogs three times over their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Royals and their opponents are 2-8-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Royals have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 1.6
HR 1
ERA 2.40
K/9 9.4

Royals Player Insights

  • Bobby Witt Jr. paces the Royals with 32 home runs and 109 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .332.
  • Witt's home run total places him 15th in the big leagues, and he ranks sixth in RBI.
  • Perez is batting .271 with 28 doubles, 27 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Perez is 29th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 10th in RBI.
  • Maikel Garcia is batting .232 with 27 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 41 walks.
  • Hunter Renfroe has 18 doubles, 14 home runs and 36 walks while batting .228.

Royals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 (+135) 1.5 (-125) - 0.5 (+140)
Salvador Pérez 0.5 (-275) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+130)
Michael Massey 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+170)
Freddy Fermin 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+215)
Tommy Pham 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+180)

Royals vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Kansas City Royals and the Atlanta Braves.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Atlanta Braves
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