Brewers vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 28, 2023 3:00 p.m. ET

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Carlos Santana and the Milwaukee Brewers will look to out-hit Paul Goldschmidt and the St. Louis Cardinals at American Family Field on Thursday at 4:10 PM ET. The Brewers are listed as -251 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Cardinals (+205). Milwaukee is a 1.5-run favorite (at -117 odds). The over/under for the matchup is set at 8 runs.

The Brewers will start Corbin Burnes (10-8) against the Cardinals and Dakota Hudson (6-2).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Cardinals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Brewers vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, September 28, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
• Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• How to Watch on TV: BSWI

Brewers vs. Cardinals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Cardinals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Brewers 58%, Cardinals 42%

Brewers vs. Cardinals Betting Insights

• The Brewers have won 49, or 58.3%, of the 84 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Milwaukee has a record of 3-2 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -251 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 71.5% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
• The Cardinals have been victorious in 34, or 42.5%, of the 80 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• St. Louis has been listed as an underdog of +205 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 32.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• The Brewers have a 4-5 record from the nine games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Brewers and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
• The Brewers have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• Christian Yelich has 33 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 74 walks while hitting .275.
• Of all batters in MLB, Yelich is 99th in homers and 63rd in RBI.
• Santana has capitalized on opportunities as he paces his team with 82 RBI.
• Santana is 68th in homers and 45th in RBI on the year.
• Santana has four games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .381 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and six RBI.
• William Contreras has racked up a team-high batting average of .290.
• Contreras is on a 14-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last 10 games he is hitting .368 with four doubles, a home run, six walks and three RBI.
• Willy Adames' 24 home runs pace his team.
• Adames is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with two doubles and four walks.

Brewers Team Props

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Cardinals matchup on Fox Sports.

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

• The Cardinals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Cardinals and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Cardinals have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Cardinals Player Insights

• Goldschmidt is batting .267 with 29 doubles, 25 home runs and 86 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .362.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Goldschmidt is 44th in homers and 56th in RBI.
• Lars Nootbaar has 24 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 71 walks while batting .262.
• Among all major league hitters, Nootbaar is 171st in homers and 201st in RBI.
• Tommy Edman has 24 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 33 walks while batting .246.
• Jordan Walker is hitting .273 with 16 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 37 walks.

Cardinals Team Props

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