Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2023 7:07 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Colin Rea takes the mound for the Milwaukee Brewers on Friday against Cody Bellinger and the Chicago Cubs. First pitch is at 8:10 PM ET at American Family Field. The Brewers are favored in this one, at -115, while the underdog Cubs have -105 odds to upset. Chicago (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The game's total has been set at 8.5 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Milwaukee Brewers looking to Rea (6-6), and Kyle Hendricks (6-8) answering the bell for the Chicago Cubs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Cubs game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Brewers vs. Cubs Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Friday, September 29, 2023 at 8:10 PM ET
  • Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • How to Watch on TV: BSWI
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers -115 -105 8.5 -116 -106 -1.5 -190 +159

Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Cubs 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Brewers 53%, Cubs 47%

Brewers vs. Cubs Betting Insights

  • This season, the Brewers have won 50 out of the 85 games, or 58.8%, in which they've been favored.
  • Milwaukee has a record of 47-33 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -115 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • The Cubs have won in 29, or 43.3%, of the 67 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Chicago has been victorious 25 times in 57 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 51.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Brewers went 5-4 across the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Brewers and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times.
  • The Brewers' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 10
ERA 2.48
K/9 8.3

Brewers Player Insights

  • Christian Yelich is hitting .277 with 34 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 75 walks.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Yelich ranks 27th in batting average, 16th in on-base percentage, and 63rd in slugging.
  • Carlos Santana has capitalized on opportunities as he paces his team with 82 runs batted in.
  • Santana ranks 68th in home runs and 45th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Santana heads into this matchup looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .429 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and six RBI.
  • William Contreras leads the Brewers with a .289 batting average.
  • Contreras has at least one base hit in 15 games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .368 with four doubles, a home run, six walks and four RBI.
  • Willy Adames' 24 home runs are a team-high mark.

Brewers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
William Contreras 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+170)
Christian Yelich 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+220)
Garrett Mitchell 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+275)
Victor Caratini 0.5 (-141) 0.5 (-141) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+230)
Tyrone Taylor 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+225)

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Cubs matchup on Fox Sports.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

  • The Cubs have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Cubs and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
  • The Cubs have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 13
ERA 4.65
K/9 10.4

Cubs Player Insights

  • Bellinger leads the Cubs with 26 home runs and 96 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .310.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Bellinger's home run total is 38th and his RBI tally is 22nd.
  • Bellinger carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with two walks and two RBI.
  • Nico Hoerner has 27 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 49 walks while batting .286.
  • Hoerner is 235th overall in homers and 93rd in RBI this season.
  • Ian Happ has 34 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 98 walks while batting .247.
  • Seiya Suzuki has 30 doubles, six triples, 20 home runs and 57 walks while hitting .285.

Cubs Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nico Hoerner 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+245)
Cody Bellinger 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+140)
Ian Happ 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+165)
Christopher Morel 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+240)
Dansby Swanson 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+195)
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