Brewers vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 17

Updated Aug. 17, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Willy Adames and the Milwaukee Brewers square off against the Cleveland Guardians and starter Tanner Bibee on Saturday at 7:15 p.m. ET at American Family Field. Oddsmakers list the Brewers as -130 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Guardians +110 moneyline odds. Milwaukee is favored on the run line (-1.5). The matchup's over/under has been set at 7.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Guardians vs. Brewers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Cleveland Guardians and the Milwaukee Brewers.

Brewers vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, August 17, 2024 at 7:15 p.m. ET
Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
How to Watch on TV: FOX

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers	-130	+110	7.5	-104	-116	-1.5	+166	-200

Brewers vs. Guardians Prediction

Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Guardians 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Brewers 54%, Guardians 46%

Brewers vs. Guardians Betting Insights

The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 65 times this season and won 38, or 58.5%, of those games.
This season Milwaukee has won 24 of its 39 games, or 61.5%, when favored by at least -130 on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 56.5% chance to win.
The Guardians have won in 21, or 48.8%, of the 43 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Cleveland has a win-loss record of 9-12 when favored by +110 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 47.6% chance of pulling out a win.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

The Brewers have a 2-1 record over the three games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Brewers and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Brewers' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.6
HR	16
ERA	3.50
K/9	9.9

Brewers Player Insights

William Contreras paces the Brewers with a .284 batting average.
Of all hitters in baseball, Contreras' home run total places him 75th, and his RBI tally puts him 26th.
Willy Adames has shown his power as he paces his team with 22 home runs and 84 RBI.
Adames ranks 24th in homers and ninth in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Adames heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .263 with a home run, a walk and four RBI.
Brice Turang is batting .257 with 17 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 37 walks.
Turang will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .235 with a double, a triple, two walks and two RBI.
Jackson Chourio is batting .274 with 17 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 25 walks.
Chourio takes a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, a walk and three RBI.

Brewers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
William Contreras	0.5 (-220)	1.5 (+130)	-	0.5 (+165)
Jackson Chourio	0.5 (-215)	1.5 (+135)	-	0.5 (+200)
Sal Frelick	0.5 (-140)	0.5 (-140)	-	0.5 (+340)
Garrett Mitchell	0.5 (+105)	0.5 (+105)	-	0.5 (+350)
Brice Turang	0.5 ()	0.5 ()	-	0.5 (+300)

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Guardians have a record of 3-2.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Guardians and their opponents are 4-4-2 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Guardians have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.8
HR	15
ERA	4.14
K/9	7.3

Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez has posted a team-leading 32 home runs and has driven in 100 runs.
In all of MLB, Ramirez ranks sixth in homers and second in RBI.
Josh Naylor is hitting .247 with 19 doubles, 26 home runs and 45 walks.
Naylor ranks 11th in home runs and fifth in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Steven Kwan leads the Guardians' lineup with a .320 batting average.
Andres Gimenez has 18 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 20 walks while hitting .258.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Will Brennan	0.5 ()	1.5 (+145)	-	0.5 (+230)
José Ramírez	0.5 (-205)	1.5 (+125)	-	0.5 (+150)
Steven Kwan	0.5 ()	1.5 (+140)	-	0.5 (+250)
Tyler Freeman	0.5 (-155)	0.5 (-155)	-	0.5 (+260)
Lane Thomas	0.5 (-150)	0.5 (-150)	-	0.5 (+215)