Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 11

Updated Sep. 11, 2023 7:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Willy Adames and Jesus Sanchez will look to continue their recent offensive production when the Milwaukee Brewers and Miami Marlins take the field at American Family Field on Monday, at 7:40 PM ET. The Brewers have been listed as -143 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Marlins (+121). Milwaukee is a 1.5-run favorite (at +149 odds). A 7-run over/under has been set in the matchup.

The Brewers will give the ball to Brandon Woodruff (4-1) against the Marlins and Jesus Luzardo (9-8).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Brewers vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, September 11, 2023 at 7:40 PM ET
Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
How to Watch on TV: BSWI

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers	-143	+121	7	-114	-105	-1.5	+149	-178

Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Brewers 4, Marlins 3
Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
Win Probabilities: Brewers 56%, Marlins 44%

Brewers vs. Marlins Betting Insights

This season, the Brewers have been favored 70 times and won 41, or 58.6%, of those games.
This season Milwaukee has won 21 of its 38 games, or 55.3%, when favored by at least -143 on the moneyline.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 58.8% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
The Marlins have come away with 33 wins in the 75 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
Miami has a win-loss record of 14-20 when favored by +121 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

The Brewers were favored on the moneyline for four of their last 10 games, and they went 1-3 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Brewers and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Brewers are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.1
HR	7
ERA	3.10
K/9	10.2

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Brewers Player Insights

Christian Yelich is batting .274 with 31 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 71 walks.
In all of the majors, Yelich is 101st in home runs and 58th in RBI.
Yelich carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .133 with a double, four walks and an RBI.
Carlos Santana has totaled 73 runs batted in to lead his team.
Santana ranks 82nd in home runs and 48th in RBI on the season.
William Contreras leads the Brewers with a team-best batting average of .281.
Contreras will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .261 with three walks and three RBI.
Adames has shown off his power as he leads his team with 24 home runs.

Brewers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
William Contreras	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+195)
Christian Yelich	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+160)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+250)
Josh Donaldson	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+175)
Tyrone Taylor	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+210)
Mark Canha	0.5 (-200)	0.5 (-200)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+235)

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 4-2.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
The Marlins have a record of 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	8-2
Runs Per Game	6
HR	19
ERA	4.05
K/9	7.7

Marlins Player Insights

Luis Arraez paces the Marlins with a .349 batting average.
Among all hitters in the majors, Arraez's home run total is 278th and his RBI tally ranks 90th.
Bryan De La Cruz has driven in the most runs for the Marlins with 74 runs batted in.
De La Cruz ranks 82nd in homers and 45th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Jake Burger is hitting .239 with 24 doubles, a triple, 31 home runs and 28 walks.
Josh Bell has 24 doubles, 20 home runs and 56 walks while hitting .245.

Marlins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Joey Wendle	0.5 (-154)	0.5 (-154)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+275)
Nick Fortes	0.5 (+100)	0.5 (+100)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+300)
Jazz Chisholm	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+240)
Josh Bell	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+230)
Jesús Sánchez	0.5 (-135)	0.5 (-135)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+275)