Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 22

Updated Sep. 22, 2023 6:21 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers will try to find success against JT Chargois when he starts for the Miami Marlins on Friday at 6:40 PM ET. The Brewers are -147 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Marlins (+125). Milwaukee is a 1.5-run favorite (at +115 odds). The total is 7.5 runs for this matchup (with -118 odds to go over and -102 odds to go under).

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Milwaukee Brewers looking to Corbin Burnes (9-8), and Chargois (2-0) taking the ball for the Miami Marlins.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Brewers vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, September 22, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers	-147	+125	7.5	-118	-102	-1.5	+115	-137

Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Brewers 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Brewers 50%, Marlins 50%

Brewers vs. Marlins Betting Insights

This season, the Brewers have been favored 79 times and won 47, or 59.5%, of those games.
Milwaukee is 20-19 this season when entering a game favored by -147 or more on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 59.5%.
The Marlins have won in 37, or 45.7%, of the 81 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Miami has a mark of 12-19 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +125 or worse on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 44.4% chance of pulling out a win.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

The Brewers have a 5-3 record across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Brewers and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Brewers' record against the spread is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.3
HR	12
ERA	1.98
K/9	8.2

Brewers Player Insights

Yelich is hitting .272 with 31 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 72 walks.
Yelich ranks 114th in homers and 74th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
William Contreras' .284 batting average leads his team.
Contreras is 114th in homers and 66th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
Contreras has nine straight games with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is batting .297 with three doubles, two home runs, six walks and five RBI.
Carlos Santana is batting .231 with 30 doubles, 21 home runs and 62 walks.
Willy Adames' 24 home runs and 78 RBI are both team-highs.

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 4-2.
The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Marlins have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	12
ERA	4.34
K/9	8.4

Marlins Player Insights

Luis Arraez leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .354.
In all of the majors, Arraez ranks 209th in home runs and 80th in RBI.
Arraez carries a nine-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .372 with a double, four home runs and six RBI.
Jorge Soler has racked up a team-best 36 home runs.
Soler is eighth in homers and 67th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
Jake Burger has a team-best 76 runs batted in.
Bryan De La Cruz is hitting .256 with 31 doubles, 19 home runs and 38 walks.