Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 23

Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 23

Updated Sep. 23, 2023 4:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers will attempt to beat Jake Burger and the Miami Marlins when the teams meet on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. The Marlins are -102 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favorite Brewers (-118). Milwaukee (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The matchup's total is set at 7 runs.

The Brewers will give the ball to Brandon Woodruff (5-1) versus the Marlins and Jesus Luzardo (10-9).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Brewers vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
  • Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: BSFL
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers -118 -102 7 +102 -121 -1.5 +149 -179

Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Brewers 50%, Marlins 50%

Brewers vs. Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have won 48, or 60%, of the 80 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Milwaukee is 41-28 this season when entering a game favored by -118 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 54.1% chance to win.
  • The Marlins have won in 37, or 45.1%, of the 82 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Miami has come away with a win 30 times in 72 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 50.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Brewers went 5-3 across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Brewers and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Brewers' record against the spread is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 14
ERA 1.98
K/9 7.8

Brewers Player Insights

  • Yelich is hitting .276 with 32 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 73 walks.
  • Yelich is 94th in homers and 57th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • William Contreras' .284 batting average is a team-high mark.
  • Of all MLB hitters, Contreras is 116th in homers and 61st in RBI.
  • Contreras carries a 10-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .324 with three doubles, two home runs, eight walks and five RBI.
  • Carlos Santana paces the Brewers with 78 runs batted in.
  • Willy Adames has shown off his power as he leads his team with 24 home runs and 78 RBI.
  • Adames has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .294 with three doubles, four walks and an RBI.

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 4-2.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Marlins have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5
HR 13
ERA 4.81
K/9 7.8

Marlins Player Insights

  • Luis Arraez leads the Marlins with a .354 batting average.
  • Arraez's home run total puts him 209th in the majors, and he is 83rd in RBI.
  • Jorge Soler's 36 home runs are a team-high total.
  • Soler ranks ninth in homers and 69th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Burger has racked up a team-best 76 runs batted in.
  • Bryan De La Cruz is batting .256 with 31 doubles, 19 home runs and 38 walks.
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