Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Updated Sep. 24, 2023 1:06 p.m. ET

The Milwaukee Brewers versus Miami Marlins game on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET will showcase a pair of hot hitters in Tyrone Taylor and Luis Arraez. The Marlins are +110 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favorite Brewers (-130). Milwaukee is a 1.5-run favorite (at +138 odds). The over/under is 7 runs for this game (with -106 odds to hit the over and -112 odds to go under).

The Brewers will start Freddy Peralta (12-9) against the Marlins and Edward Cabrera (6-7).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Brewers vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 1:40 PM ET
  • Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: BSFL
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers -130 +110 7 -106 -112 -1.5 +138 -164

Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Brewers 50%, Marlins 50%

Brewers vs. Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have been favorites in 81 games this season and won 48 (59.3%) of those contests.
  • Milwaukee has a record of 33-23 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -130 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 56.5% chance to win.
  • The Marlins have won in 38, or 45.8%, of the 83 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, Miami has won 22 of 50 games when listed as at least +110 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Brewers were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and went 5-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Brewers and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Brewers are 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6
HR 15
ERA 2.30
K/9 8.2

Brewers Player Insights

  • Christian Yelich is batting .277 with 33 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 73 walks.
  • Yelich ranks 95th in homers and 60th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Yelich carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with three doubles, two home runs, four walks and five RBI.
  • Carlos Santana has been productive as he paces his team with 81 RBI.
  • Santana is 66th in home runs in the majors, and 45th in RBI.
  • Santana carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .227 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
  • William Contreras has racked up a team-best batting average of .286.
  • Contreras has at least one base hit in 11 straight games. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .342 with three doubles, two home runs, seven walks and six RBI.
  • Willy Adames' 24 home runs lead his team.

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 5-1.
  • The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Marlins are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 13
ERA 4.85
K/9 7.9

Marlins Player Insights

  • Arraez paces the Marlins with a team-leading batting average of .353.
  • Arraez's home run total puts him 210th in the majors, and he is 83rd in RBI.
  • Jorge Soler's 36 home runs pace his team.
  • Soler is ninth overall in home runs and 69th in RBI this year.
  • Jake Burger has a team-best 79 runs batted in.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has 32 doubles, 19 home runs and 39 walks while batting .258.
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