Brewers vs. Mets NL Wild Card Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1

Updated Oct. 1, 2024 4:01 a.m. ET

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The NL Wild Card Series kicks off Tuesday at 5:32 p.m. ET when the Milwaukee Brewers host the New York Mets live from American Family Field, and airing on ESPN. The Mets are +118 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Brewers (-140). Milwaukee (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under for the contest has been listed at 7.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Brewers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers.

Brewers vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, October 1, 2024 at 5:32 p.m. ET
• Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• How to Watch on TV: ESPN

Brewers vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Brewers 54%, Mets 46%

Brewers vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Brewers have been favored 91 times and won 54, or 59.3%, of those games.
• This season Milwaukee has won 24 of its 41 games, or 58.5%, when favored by at least -140 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 58.3% chance to win.
• The Mets have won in 28, or 44.4%, of the 63 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• New York has a mark of 15-11 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +118 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 45.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Tue 9:32 PM

ESPN

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

+118

O 7.5

Milwaukee Brewers

MIL

-1.5

-140

U 7.5

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• The Brewers have a 3-2 record across the five games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Brewers combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total four times.
• The Brewers have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• The Brewers best hitter so far this season is William Contreras, who's hitting at a team-leading .281 rate along with 23 homers and 92 RBI.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Contreras' home run total places him 49th, and his RBI tally puts him 22nd.
• Willy Adames' 32 home runs and 112 runs batted in both lead his team.
• Adames ranks 16th in homers and fourth in RBI in the bigs.
• Jackson Chourio is batting .275 with 29 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 39 walks.
• Chourio will look to build on his four-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with a double and an RBI.
• Brice Turang has 24 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 50 walks while batting .254.
• Turang brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a double, two walks and three RBI.

Brewers Team Props

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Mets had a record of 2-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Mets have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor leads the Mets with 91 runs batted in while accumulating a team-best batting average of .273.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Lindor ranks 14th in home runs and 25th in RBI.
• Pete Alonso has shown his power as he paces his team with 34 home runs.
• Alonso ranks 12th in homers and 29th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .224 with 25 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks.
• Jesse Winker is batting .253 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.

Mets Team Props

Mets vs. Brewers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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