Brewers vs. Mets NL Wild Card Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1

Updated Oct. 1, 2024 5:01 p.m. ET

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The NL Wild Card Series begins on Tuesday when the Milwaukee Brewers play host to the New York Mets. Action begins at 5:32 p.m. ET at American Family Field, and can be watched on ESPN. The favored Brewers have -143 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Mets, who are listed at +121. Milwaukee (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total is 7.5 runs for this game (with -101 odds to hit the over and -119 odds on the under).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Brewers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers.

Brewers vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, October 1, 2024 at 5:32 p.m. ET
• Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• How to Watch on TV: ESPN

Brewers vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Brewers 54%, Mets 46%

Brewers vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Brewers have been favored 91 times and won 54, or 59.3%, of those games.
• Milwaukee has a record of 22-15 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -143 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.8% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
• The Mets have been victorious in 28, or 44.4%, of the 63 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• New York has a win-loss record of 12-10 when favored by +121 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

NYM 8 · MIL 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

+123

O 7.5

Milwaukee Brewers

MIL

-1.5

-147

U 7.5

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• The Brewers went 3-2 across the five games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Brewers and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Brewers are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• William Contreras has racked up a team-best batting average of .281.
• Among all MLB hitters, Contreras ranks 22nd in batting average, 16th in on-base percentage, and 32nd in slugging.
• Willy Adames has shown off his power as he leads his team with 32 home runs and 112 runs batted in.
• Adames is 16th in homers and fourth in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Jackson Chourio is hitting .275 with 29 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 39 walks.
• Chourio is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a double and an RBI.
• Brice Turang is batting .254 with 24 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 50 walks.
• Turang is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with a double, two walks and three RBI.

Brewers Team Props

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Mets have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor has posted a team-leading batting average of .273 and leads the Mets in runs batted in with a mark of 91.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Lindor is 14th in homers and 25th in RBI.
• Pete Alonso has shown off his power as he paces his team with 34 home runs.
• Alonso is 12th overall in home runs and 29th in RBI this year.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .224 with 25 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks.
• Jesse Winker has 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks while hitting .253.

Mets Team Props

Mets vs. Brewers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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