Brewers vs. Mets NL Wild Card Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 2

Brewers vs. Mets NL Wild Card Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 2

Updated Oct. 2, 2024 7:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The NL Wild Card Series rolls on Wednesday at 7:38 p.m. ET when the Milwaukee Brewers host the New York Mets live on ESPN from American Family Field. The Mets will look to move on to the NLDS while the Brewers hope to extend the series with a win. The Brewers are favored in this one, at -128, while the underdog Mets have +109 odds to play spoiler. Milwaukee is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 7.5 runs for this contest.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets secure playoff berth thanks to Francisco Lindor's go-ahead two-run home run vs. Braves

The New York Mets secured a playoff berth thanks to Francisco Lindor's go-ahead two-run home run against the Atlanta Braves in the ninth inning.
ADVERTISEMENT

Brewers vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, October 2, 2024 at 7:38 p.m. ET
  • Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers -128 +109 7.5 -117 -104 -1.5 +169 -205

Brewers vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Brewers 54%, Mets 46%

Brewers vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 92 times this season and won 54, or 58.7%, of those games.
  • This season Milwaukee has won 34 of its 58 games, or 58.6%, when favored by at least -128 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 56.1% chance to win.
  • The Mets have been victorious in 29, or 45.3%, of the 64 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, New York has won 20 of 38 games when listed as at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 47.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
NYM 3 · MIL 5
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
New York Mets
NYM
Milwaukee Brewers
MIL

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Brewers went 3-3 over the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Brewers and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Brewers have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 6
ERA 4.25
K/9 9.2

Brewers Player Insights

  • William Contreras paces the Brewers with a team-high batting average of .281.
  • Contreras' home runs place him 49th in the majors, and he is 22nd in RBI.
  • Willy Adames has hit 32 home runs with 112 RBI. Both lead his team.
  • Among all MLB batters, Adames ranks 16th in homers and fourth in RBI.
  • Jackson Chourio is hitting .275 with 29 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 39 walks.
  • Chourio will look to build on his five-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with a double and two RBI.
  • Brice Turang is batting .254 with 24 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 50 walks.
  • Turang is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .381 with three doubles, two walks and three RBI.

Brewers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jackson Chourio 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+190)
Sal Frelick 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) - 0.5 (+340)
Joey Ortiz 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) - 0.5 (+295)
Brice Turang 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) - 0.5 (+330)
William Contreras 0.5 (-205) 0.5 (-205) - 0.5 (+175)

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • In six games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Mets had a record of 3-3.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
  • The Mets have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 9
ERA 4.71
K/9 10.5

Mets Player Insights

  • The Mets are led in runs batted in by Francisco Lindor with a mark of 91, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .273.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Lindor's home run total is 14th and his RBI tally ranks 25th.
  • Pete Alonso's 34 home runs lead his team.
  • Alonso ranks 12th overall in home runs and 29th in RBI this year.
  • Brandon Nimmo has 25 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks while batting .224.
  • Jesse Winker has 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks while hitting .253.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+160)
José Iglesias 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+260)
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+175)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+170)
Francisco Álvarez 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-135) - 0.5 (+270)

Mets secure playoff berth thanks to Francisco Lindor's go-ahead two-run home run vs. Braves

The New York Mets secured a playoff berth thanks to Francisco Lindor's go-ahead two-run home run against the Atlanta Braves in the ninth inning.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
share