Brewers vs. Mets NL Wild Card Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 3

Updated Oct. 3, 2024 7:01 p.m. ET

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The NL Wild Card Series culminates on Thursday at 7:08 p.m. ET when the Milwaukee Brewers host the New York Mets live on ESPN from American Family Field. Both teams are looking for an all-important win to advance to the NLDS. Oddsmakers list the Brewers as -127 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Mets +107 moneyline odds to win. Milwaukee is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +167 odds). The over/under for the contest has been set at 7.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Brewers vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, October 3, 2024 at 7:08 p.m. ET
• Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• How to Watch on TV: ESPN

Brewers vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Brewers 54%, Mets 46%

Brewers vs. Mets Betting Insights

• The Brewers have won 55, or 59.1%, of the 93 games they've played as favorites this season.
• This season Milwaukee has won 36 of its 60 games, or 60%, when favored by at least -127 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 55.9% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
• The Mets have come away with 29 wins in the 65 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, New York has been victorious 21 times in 41 chances when named as an underdog of at least +107 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 48.3% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

NYM 4 · MIL 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

+103

O 7.5

Milwaukee Brewers

MIL

-1.5

-122

U 7.5

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• The Brewers were favored on the moneyline for seven of their last 10 games, and they went 4-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Brewers and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Brewers' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• William Contreras paces the Brewers with a team-high batting average of .281.
• Among all MLB hitters, Contreras ranks 22nd in batting average, 16th in on-base percentage, and 32nd in slugging.
• Contreras takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .188 with three walks and two RBI.
• Willy Adames' 32 home runs and 112 runs batted in both pace his team.
• Adames ranks 16th in home runs and fourth in RBI on the year.
• Jackson Chourio is batting .275 with 29 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 39 walks.
• Chourio will look to build on his six-game hitting in this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .361 with a double, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
• Brice Turang is batting .254 with 24 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 50 walks.
• Turang has recorded at least one hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .476 with four doubles, a walk and three RBI.

Brewers Team Props

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Mets have a record of 3-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Mets are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor has a team-leading batting average of .273 while leading the Mets in runs batted in with a mark of 91.
• Lindor ranks 14th in home runs and 25th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Pete Alonso has shown his power as he paces his team with 34 home runs.
• Alonso is 12th in homers and 29th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Brandon Nimmo has 25 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks while hitting .224.
• Jesse Winker is hitting .253 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.

Mets Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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