Brewers vs. Mets NL Wild Card Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 3

Updated Oct. 3, 2024 4:01 a.m. ET

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The NL Wild Card Series culminates on Thursday at 7:08 p.m. ET when the Milwaukee Brewers host the New York Mets live on ESPN from American Family Field. Both teams are looking for an all-important win to advance to the NLDS. Bookmakers list the Brewers as -123 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Mets +104 moneyline odds to win. Milwaukee (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The matchup's over/under has been listed at 7.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Brewers vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, October 3, 2024 at 7:08 p.m. ET
• Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• How to Watch on TV: ESPN

Brewers vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Brewers 54%, Mets 46%

Brewers vs. Mets Betting Insights

• The Brewers have been favorites in 93 games this season and won 55 (59.1%) of those contests.
• Milwaukee has entered 68 games this season favored by -123 or more and is 43-25 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 55.2%.
• The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 65 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (44.6%) in those games.
• New York has a win-loss record of 22-24 when favored by +104 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 49% chance of pulling out a win.

Thu 11:08 PM

ESPN

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

+104

O 7.5

Milwaukee Brewers

MIL

-1.5

-123

U 7.5

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• The Brewers went 4-3 across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Brewers and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Brewers' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• William Contreras leads the Brewers with a .281 batting average.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Contreras ranks 49th in home runs and 22nd in RBI.
• Contreras carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .188 with three walks and two RBI.
• Willy Adames' 32 home runs and 112 RBI both pace his team.
• Adames ranks 16th in homers and fourth in RBI in the majors.
• Jackson Chourio is hitting .275 with 29 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 39 walks.
• Chourio is on a six-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .361 with a double, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
• Brice Turang is hitting .254 with 24 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 50 walks.
• Turang has recorded at least one hit in five straight games. In his last five games he is batting .476 with four doubles, a walk and three RBI.

Brewers Team Props

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• In six games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Mets had a record of 3-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• The Mets are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• The Mets are led in runs batted in by Francisco Lindor with a mark of 91, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .273.
• Lindor's home run total puts him 14th in the majors, and he ranks 25th in RBI.
• Pete Alonso has collected a team-best 34 home runs.
• Alonso ranks 12th in homers and 29th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .224 with 25 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks.
• Jesse Winker is batting .253 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.

Mets Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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