Brewers vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 31

Updated Jul. 31, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Joey Meneses and the Washington Nationals hit the field on Monday at Nationals Park against Corbin Burnes, who is starting for the Milwaukee Brewers. First pitch is set for 7:05 PM ET for the first game of a three-game series. The favored Brewers have -212 moneyline odds against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at +175. Milwaukee is favored on the run line (-1.5 with -121 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for the contest.

The Milwaukee Brewers will hand the ball to Burnes (9-6, 3.46 ERA), who is looking for win No. 10 on the season, and the Nationals will turn to Jake Irvin (3-5, 5.09 ERA).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Brewers vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, July 31, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
How to Watch on TV: MASN2

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers	-212	+175	8.5	-115	-105	-1.5	-121	+101

Brewers vs. Nationals Prediction

Score Prediction: Brewers 6, Nationals 5
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Brewers 50%, Nationals 50%

Brewers vs. Nationals Betting Insights

The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 50 times this season and won 29, or 58%, of those games.
Milwaukee is 2-1 this season when entering a game favored by -212 or more on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 67.9% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
The Nationals have been victorious in 38, or 39.2%, of the 97 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
Washington has a win-loss record of 12-16 when favored by +175 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 36.4% chance of pulling out a win.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

The Brewers have a 2-1 record from the three games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Brewers and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
The Brewers' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	10
ERA	4.97
K/9	10.8

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Brewers Player Insights

Christian Yelich has put up a team-high batting average of .286 while pacing the Brewers in runs batted in (60).
Yelich ranks 54th in homers and 34th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Yelich has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .286 with a double, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
Carlos Santana is hitting .233 with 25 doubles, 13 home runs and 47 walks.
Santana is 90th in home runs in baseball, and 59th in RBI.
William Contreras has 21 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .276.
Contreras is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .364 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
Willy Adames has hit 17 home runs to lead his team.

Brewers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Carlos Santana	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+120)
Willy Adames	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+140)
William Contreras	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+140)
Christian Yelich	1.5 (+150)	1.5 (-120)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+140)
Victor Caratini	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

The Nationals have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
The Nationals have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.3
HR	8
ERA	4.24
K/9	7.9

Nationals Player Insights

Lane Thomas leads the lineup with a batting average of .285, while pacing the Nationals in home runs, with 16 and runs batted in with 55.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Thomas' home run total ranks 54th and his RBI tally ranks 54th.
Jeimer Candelario has shown off his power as he paces his team with 16 home runs.
Candelario is 54th overall in homers and 61st in RBI this season.
Luis Garcia has 13 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 21 walks while batting .266.
C.J. Abrams has 18 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 17 walks while hitting .256.

Nationals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Luis Garcia	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+250)
Joey Meneses	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+210)
C.J. Abrams	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+240)
Dominic Smith	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+260)
Ildemaro Vargas	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (-179)	-	0.5 (+265)

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