Brewers vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Updated Sep. 16, 2023 7:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers face C.J. Abrams and the Washington Nationals at American Family Field on Saturday. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET. The favored Brewers have -290 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at +232. Milwaukee is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the contest is set at 8 runs.

The Milwaukee Brewers will hand the ball to Corbin Burnes (9-8, 3.47 ERA), who is looking for win No. 10 on the season, and the Nationals will turn to Trevor Williams (6-10, 5.44 ERA).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Brewers vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
How to Watch on TV: BSWI

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers	-290	+232	8	-111	-109	-1.5	-136	+114

Brewers vs. Nationals Prediction

Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Nationals 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Brewers 58%, Nationals 42%

Brewers vs. Nationals Betting Insights

The Brewers have won 44, or 59.5%, of the 74 games they've played as favorites this season.
Milwaukee has not been bigger favorites this season than the -290 moneyline set for this game.
The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 74.4%.
The Nationals have been underdogs in 136 games this season and have come away with the win 56 times (41.2%) in those contests.
This season, Washington has come away with a win one times in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +232 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 30.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

The Brewers went 4-2 across the six games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Brewers and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
The Brewers have put together an 8-2-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.5
HR	8
ERA	1.95
K/9	9

Brewers Player Insights

Yelich is batting .272 with 31 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 72 walks.
Including all MLB hitters, Yelich is 38th in batting average, 20th in on-base percentage, and 76th in slugging.
Carlos Santana is batting .236 with 29 doubles, 21 home runs and 60 walks.
Santana is 66th in homers and 51st in RBI on the year.
Santana has two straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with two home runs, three walks and two RBI.
William Contreras has a team-high batting average of .282.
Contreras has at least one base hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .313 with a double, a home run, four walks and four RBI.
Willy Adames has shown his power as he paces his team with 24 home runs and 76 runs batted in.

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

The Nationals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Nationals and their opponents are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Nationals have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	9
ERA	5.52
K/9	8.4

Nationals Player Insights

Lane Thomas leads the Nationals with 25 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 79.
Thomas' home run total puts him 36th in the majors, and he is 41st in RBI.
Abrams is batting .247 with 22 doubles, five triples, 18 home runs and 27 walks.
Abrams is currently 95th in home runs and 121st in RBI in the big leagues.
Joey Meneses leads the Nationals in runs batted in (79) and has racked up a team-best batting average of .278.
Keibert Ruiz is batting .256 with 20 doubles, 17 home runs and 30 walks.