Brewers vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 18

Brewers vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 18

Updated Sep. 18, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Milwaukee Brewers and Jackson Chourio will take the field against Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies at American Family Field on Wednesday, with the first pitch at 7:40 p.m. ET. Bookmakers list the Brewers as -114 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Phillies -106 moneyline odds to win. Philadelphia (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. A 7.5-run over/under has been listed for this contest.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Milwaukee Brewers and Arizona Diamondbacks game on September 13th, 2024.
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Brewers vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, September 18, 2024 at 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers -114 -106 7.5 -108 -112 -1.5 -203 +167

Brewers vs. Phillies Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Phillies 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Brewers 54%, Phillies 46%

Brewers vs. Phillies Betting Insights

  • This season, the Brewers have won 50 out of the 85 games, or 58.8%, in which they've been favored.
  • Milwaukee has a record of 48-34, a 58.5% win rate, when favored by -114 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 29 games this year and have walked away with the win 14 times (48.3%) in those games.
  • This season, Philadelphia has come away with a win 12 times in 27 chances when named as an underdog of at least -106 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
PHI 1 · MIL 2
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI
Milwaukee Brewers
MIL

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Brewers have a 3-1 record from the four games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Brewers and their opponents combined to go over the total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Brewers have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 12
ERA 4.55
K/9 9.7

Brewers Player Insights

  • William Contreras' .281 average leads the Brewers this year. His resume also includes 22 homers and driven in 90 RBI.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Contreras is 45th in home runs and 19th in RBI.
  • Contreras carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .267 with two doubles, a home run, six walks and six RBI.
  • Willy Adames has shown his power as he paces his team with 32 home runs and 109 runs batted in.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Adames is 12th in home runs and fourth in RBI.
  • Chourio is batting .273 with 28 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 38 walks.
  • Brice Turang is batting .259 with 23 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 47 walks.

Brewers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Brice Turang 0.5 (-285) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+255)
William Contreras 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+160)
Jackson Chourio 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+180)
Joey Ortiz 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-125) - 0.5 (+290)
Garrett Mitchell 0.5 (-150) 0.5 (-150) - 0.5 (+215)

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, bookmakers have not installed the Phillies as underdogs once.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
  • The Phillies have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 11
ERA 4.86
K/9 7.7

Phillies Player Insights

  • Bryce Harper is hitting .289 with 40 doubles, 29 home runs and 70 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .375.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Harper ranks 19th in homers and 32nd in RBI.
  • Schwarber has hit 35 home runs with 97 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
  • Schwarber ranks eighth in home runs and 12th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Alec Bohm is batting .287 with 44 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 38 walks.
  • Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .244 with 27 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 39 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Alec Bohm 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+170)
Bryce Harper 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+170)
Trea Turner 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+205)
Johan Rojas 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) - 0.5 (+295)
Bryson Stott 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (-175) - 0.5 (+240)

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Milwaukee Brewers and Arizona Diamondbacks game on September 13th, 2024.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Milwaukee Brewers
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