Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 3

Updated Aug. 3, 2023 7:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

A couple of hot hitters, Christian Yelich and Bryan Reynolds, will try to keep it going when the Milwaukee Brewers play the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday at 7:15 PM ET, at American Family Field. Oddsmakers list the Brewers as -131 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Pirates +111 moneyline odds to win. Milwaukee is a 1.5-run favorite (at +153 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this contest (with -105 odds to hit the over and -114 odds to go under).

The Milwaukee Brewers will hand the ball to Adrian Houser (3-3, 4.43 ERA), who is looking for win No. 4 on the season, and the Pirates will counter with Mitch Keller (9-7, 3.97 ERA).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET
Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
How to Watch on TV: FOX

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers	-131	+111	8.5	-105	-114	-1.5	+153	-183

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Brewers 4, Pirates 3
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Brewers 56%, Pirates 44%

Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Insights

The Brewers have won 30, or 56.6%, of the 53 games they've played as favorites this season.
Milwaukee is 18-15 this season when entering a game favored by -131 or more on the moneyline.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 56.7% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
The Pirates have been victorious in 35, or 41.2%, of the 85 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 30-35 when favored by +111 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 47.4% chance of walking away with the win.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

The Brewers were favored on the moneyline in six of their last 10 games, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Brewers and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Brewers' ATS record is 2-8-0 over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4
HR	10
ERA	5.19
K/9	9.3

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Brewers Player Insights

Yelich is the Brewers best hitter, putting together an average of .286 while also being the team's top run producer, collecting 61 RBI and connecting on 16 round-trippers.
Yelich ranks 58th in home runs and 37th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Carlos Santana is hitting .228 with 25 doubles, 13 home runs and 47 walks.
Santana is 97th in home runs and 61st in RBI in the bigs.
William Contreras is hitting .275 with 23 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 33 walks.
Willy Adames has shown off his power as he paces his team with 17 home runs.

Brewers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Christian Yelich	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+215)
Willy Adames	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+170)
William Contreras	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+190)
Mark Canha	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+235)
Carlos Santana	0.5 (-164)	0.5 (-164)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+185)

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 5-4.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
The Pirates have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	13
ERA	3.74
K/9	9.9

Pirates Player Insights

Reynolds has 21 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 32 walks while batting .262.
Among all batters in the big leagues, Reynolds' home run total ranks 112th and his RBI tally is 80th.
Reynolds brings a hitting streak of six games into this game. During his last 10 games he is batting .318 with three home runs, a walk and five RBI.
Andrew McCutchen's .263 batting average is a team-high mark.
Among all MLB batters, McCutchen is 149th in home runs and 209th in RBI.
Jack Suwinski paces the Pirates in home runs (21) and runs batted in (52).
Ke'Bryan Hayes is hitting .248 with 16 doubles, five triples, five home runs and 16 walks.

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Bryan Reynolds	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+170)
Andrew McCutchen	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+165)
Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+175)
Jack Suwinski	0.5 (-164)	0.5 (-164)	0.5 (+280)	0.5 (+140)
Alfonso Rivas	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+285)

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