Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 4

Updated Aug. 4, 2023 8:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates will play on Friday at American Family Field, at 8:10 PM ET, with Christian Yelich and Bryan Reynolds -- two hot hitters -- expected to step up at the plate. The Brewers are -174 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Pirates (+148). Milwaukee is a 1.5-run favorite (at +114 odds). A 9-run total has been set for the game.

The scheduled starters are Colin Rea (5-4) for the Milwaukee Brewers, and Quinn Priester (2-1) for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, August 4, 2023 at 8:10 PM ET
Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
How to Watch on TV: BSWI

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers	-174	+148	9	-104	-116	-1.5	+114	-135

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Pirates 4
Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Brewers 56%, Pirates 44%

Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Insights

The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 54 times this season and won 31, or 57.4%, of those games.
Milwaukee is 3-4 this season when entering a game favored by -174 or more on the moneyline.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 63.5% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
The Pirates have been victorious in 35, or 40.7%, of the 86 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 10-11 when favored by +148 or worse by bookmakers this year.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 40.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

The Brewers played as the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and went 4-3 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Brewers and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
The Brewers have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	5.2
HR	11
ERA	4.87
K/9	9.6

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Brewers Player Insights

Yelich leads the Brewers in runs batted in (63) and has a team-best batting average of .291.
Of all hitters in MLB, Yelich's home run total ranks him 59th, and his RBI tally ranks him 31st.
Yelich has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .364 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
Carlos Santana is hitting .228 with 25 doubles, 13 home runs and 47 walks.
Santana is 97th in homers and 61st in RBI among all batters in baseball.
William Contreras has 24 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .277.
Willy Adames has hit 17 home runs to lead his team.

Brewers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Willy Adames	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+150)
William Contreras	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+155)
Christian Yelich	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+185)
Mark Canha	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+210)
Carlos Santana	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Pirates have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	12
ERA	5.22
K/9	9.5

Pirates Player Insights

Reynolds is hitting .263 with 21 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 32 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .325.
Reynolds is 113th in home runs and 81st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Reynolds has collected a hit in seven games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .310 with three home runs, a walk and four RBI.
Andrew McCutchen has a club-best .264 batting average.
Among all MLB hitters, McCutchen ranks 149th in home runs and 209th in RBI.
Jack Suwinski has been solid source of run production for the Pirates with 21 long balls and 53 runs batted in.
Ke'Bryan Hayes has 16 doubles, five triples, five home runs and 16 walks while hitting .249.

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jack Suwinski	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+285)	0.5 (+165)
Andrew McCutchen	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+170)
Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+200)
Bryan Reynolds	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+180)
Alfonso Rivas	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+215)

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