William Contreras and the Milwaukee Brewers will play Andrew McCutchen and the Pittsburgh Pirates at American Family Field in the final of a four-game series, on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET. The Pirates are listed as +177 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Brewers (-214). Milwaukee is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The game's total has been set at 7.5 runs.
The Milwaukee Brewers will hand the ball to Brandon Woodruff (1-0, .79 ERA), who is looking for win No. 2 on the season, and the Pirates will counter with Johan Oviedo (5-11, 4.42 ERA).
Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):
Brewers vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds
- When: Sunday, August 6, 2023 at 2:10 PM ET
- Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
- How to Watch on TV: BSWI
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -214 | +177 | 7.5 | -117 | -103 | -1.5 | -105 | -115 |
Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction
- Score Prediction: Brewers 3, Pirates 2
- Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Brewers 61%, Pirates 39%
Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Insights
- The Brewers have won 32, or 57.1%, of the 56 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Milwaukee is 3-1 this season when entering a game favored by -214 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 68.2% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- The Pirates have been victorious in 36, or 40.9%, of the 88 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Pittsburgh has won four of 10 games when listed as at least +177 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 36.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Brewers Recent Betting Performance
- The Brewers have a 4-3 record across the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Brewers and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
- The Brewers' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.
Brewers Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.23 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
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Brewers Player Insights
- Christian Yelich comes into Sunday's game hitting .290 with 64 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Brewers. He has also connected on 16 home runs in 2023.
- In all of Major League Baseball, Yelich ranks 67th in homers and 34th in RBI.
- Carlos Santana is batting .230 with 25 doubles, 14 home runs and 47 walks.
- Santana ranks 86th in home runs and 59th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
- Santana has three straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .182 with a home run and two RBI.
- Contreras is hitting .273 with 24 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 34 walks.
- Willy Adames has hit 17 home runs to lead his team.
Brewers Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Contreras | 0.5 (-263) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+180) |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 (-244) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+210) |
| Willy Adames | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+170) |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 (-185) | 0.5 (-185) | 0.5 (+750) | 0.5 (+225) |
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 (-154) | 0.5 (-154) | 0.5 (+800) | 0.5 (+235) |
Learn more about this Brewers vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.
Pirates Recent Betting Performance
- The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
- The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
- Over their last 10 games, the Pirates are 7-3-0 against the spread.
Pirates Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.64 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Pirates Player Insights
- Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates with a .265 batting average.
- Among all hitters in MLB, Reynolds' home run total ranks 102nd and his RBI tally ranks 77th.
- McCutchen is batting .260 with 13 doubles, 10 home runs and 61 walks.
- McCutchen ranks 153rd overall in home runs and 214th in RBI this season.
- Jack Suwinski has been a significant run producer for the Pirates with 21 home runs and 53 runs batted in.
- Ke'Bryan Hayes is batting .246 with 16 doubles, five triples, five home runs and 16 walks.
Pirates Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Palacios | 0.5 (-213) | 1.5 (+155) | 0.5 (+800) | 0.5 (+290) |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 (-149) | 0.5 (-149) | 0.5 (+850) | 0.5 (+310) |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 (-196) | 0.5 (-196) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+225) |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 (-175) | 0.5 (-175) | 0.5 (+800) | 0.5 (+235) |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 (-169) | 0.5 (-169) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+215) |
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