Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 6

Updated Aug. 6, 2023 2:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

William Contreras and the Milwaukee Brewers will play Andrew McCutchen and the Pittsburgh Pirates at American Family Field in the final of a four-game series, on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET. The Pirates are listed as +177 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Brewers (-214). Milwaukee is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The game's total has been set at 7.5 runs.

The Milwaukee Brewers will hand the ball to Brandon Woodruff (1-0, .79 ERA), who is looking for win No. 2 on the season, and the Pirates will counter with Johan Oviedo (5-11, 4.42 ERA).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, August 6, 2023 at 2:10 PM ET
Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
How to Watch on TV: BSWI

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers	-214	+177	7.5	-117	-103	-1.5	-105	-115

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Brewers 3, Pirates 2
Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Brewers 61%, Pirates 39%

Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Insights

The Brewers have won 32, or 57.1%, of the 56 games they've played as favorites this season.
Milwaukee is 3-1 this season when entering a game favored by -214 or more on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 68.2% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
The Pirates have been victorious in 36, or 40.9%, of the 88 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This year, Pittsburgh has won four of 10 games when listed as at least +177 or worse on the moneyline.
The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 36.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

The Brewers have a 4-3 record across the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Brewers and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
The Brewers' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	5.3
HR	10
ERA	5.23
K/9	9.4

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Brewers Player Insights

Christian Yelich comes into Sunday's game hitting .290 with 64 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Brewers. He has also connected on 16 home runs in 2023.
In all of Major League Baseball, Yelich ranks 67th in homers and 34th in RBI.
Carlos Santana is batting .230 with 25 doubles, 14 home runs and 47 walks.
Santana ranks 86th in home runs and 59th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
Santana has three straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .182 with a home run and two RBI.
Contreras is hitting .273 with 24 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 34 walks.
Willy Adames has hit 17 home runs to lead his team.

Brewers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
William Contreras	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+180)
Christian Yelich	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+210)
Willy Adames	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+170)
Mark Canha	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+225)
Brian Anderson	0.5 (-154)	0.5 (-154)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+235)

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
Over their last 10 games, the Pirates are 7-3-0 against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.6
HR	11
ERA	4.64
K/9	9.1

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates with a .265 batting average.
Among all hitters in MLB, Reynolds' home run total ranks 102nd and his RBI tally ranks 77th.
McCutchen is batting .260 with 13 doubles, 10 home runs and 61 walks.
McCutchen ranks 153rd overall in home runs and 214th in RBI this season.
Jack Suwinski has been a significant run producer for the Pirates with 21 home runs and 53 runs batted in.
Ke'Bryan Hayes is batting .246 with 16 doubles, five triples, five home runs and 16 walks.

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Joshua Palacios	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+290)
Connor Joe	0.5 (-149)	0.5 (-149)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+310)
Bryan Reynolds	0.5 (-196)	0.5 (-196)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+225)
Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+235)
Andrew McCutchen	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+215)

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