Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 11

Updated Jul. 11, 2024 2:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Milwaukee Brewers will look to Christian Yelich for continued offensive production when they take the field against Oneil Cruz and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday. The Brewers are listed as -161 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Pirates (+136). Milwaukee is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The contest's over/under has been listed at 8.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Pirates vs. Brewers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday, July 10.

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 2:10 PM ET
Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers	-161	+136	8.5	-117	-103	-1.5	+126	-152

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Pirates 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Brewers 56%, Pirates 44%

Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Insights

This season, the Brewers have been favored 50 times and won 32, or 64%, of those games.
This season Milwaukee has won 12 of its 14 games, or 85.7%, when favored by at least -161 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 61.7%.
The Pirates have come away with 25 wins in the 54 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win six times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +136 or longer on the moneyline.
The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 42.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

The Brewers went 4-3 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Brewers and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
The Brewers have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.2
HR	12
ERA	4.34
K/9	7.5

Brewers Player Insights

William Contreras is hitting .295 with 23 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 34 walks.
Contreras is 98th in homers and 30th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Contreras brings a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with three doubles, three walks and three RBI.
Willy Adames has shown off his power as he leads his team with 14 home runs and 62 RBI.
Including all major league hitters, Adames is 41st in homers and ninth in RBI.
Adames has five straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .350 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and six RBI.
Yelich leads the Brewers with a team-high batting average of .335.
Yelich will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .412 with a double, two home runs, four walks and four RBI.
Brice Turang is hitting .284 with 16 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 30 walks.

Brewers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Christian Yelich	0.5 (-210)	1.5 ()	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+185)
Brice Turang	0.5 (-250)	1.5 ()	-	0.5 (+300)
William Contreras	0.5 (-235)	1.5 ()	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+180)
Sal Frelick	0.5 (-160)	0.5 (-160)	-	0.5 (+250)
Rhys Hoskins	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+230)

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 2-4.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
Over their last 10 games, the Pirates are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.3
HR	21
ERA	3.46
K/9	8.9

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates with 17 home runs and 56 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .280.
Reynolds ranks 20th in homers and 23rd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Cruz is batting .247 with 16 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 24 walks.
Cruz ranks 41st overall in home runs and 77th in RBI this year.
Connor Joe has 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 26 walks while hitting .241.
Andrew McCutchen is batting .221 with eight doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 39 walks.

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.5 (-235)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+195)
Nick Gonzales	0.5 (-280)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+160)
Oneil Cruz	0.5 (-190)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+155)
Joshua Palacios	0.5 (-205)	1.5 ()	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+200)
Bryan Reynolds	0.5 (-235)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+190)