Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 9

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 9

Updated Jul. 9, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Christian Yelich and Bryan Reynolds will look to continue their recent offensive production when the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates play at American Family Field on Tuesday, at 8:10 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Brewers as -161 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Pirates +137 moneyline odds. Milwaukee (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total is 8.5 runs for this contest (with -106 odds on the over and -114 odds on the under).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Brewers vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, July 9, 2024 at 8:10 PM ET
  • Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers -161 +137 8.5 -106 -114 -1.5 +125 -149

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 4, Pirates 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Brewers 58%, Pirates 42%

Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have been favorites in 48 games this season and won 31 (64.6%) of those contests.
  • Milwaukee has entered 12 games this season favored by -161 or more and is 11-1 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.7% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • The Pirates have been victorious in 24, or 46.2%, of the 52 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious four times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +137 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 42.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
FINAL
PIT 12 · MIL 2
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
Milwaukee Brewers
MIL

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Brewers have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Brewers and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Brewers have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 11
ERA 3.82
K/9 8.5

Brewers Player Insights

  • William Contreras has 21 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 34 walks while hitting .297.
  • Contreras ranks 93rd in homers and 30th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Willy Adames has put his power on display as he paces his team with 13 home runs and 58 RBI.
  • Adames ranks 50th in home runs and 15th in RBI in the bigs.
  • Adames carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .158 with a double, a walk and two RBI.
  • Yelich has put up a team-best batting average of .329.
  • Yelich has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with two doubles, three home runs, four walks and five RBI.
  • Brice Turang has 16 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 30 walks while hitting .288.

Brewers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jackson Chourio 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+215)
Brice Turang 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+160) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+225)
William Contreras 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+175)
Christian Yelich 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+170)
Willy Adames 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+125)

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
  • The Pirates have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 16
ERA 3.16
K/9 9.1

Pirates Player Insights

  • Reynolds leads the lineup with a batting average of .278, and paces the Pirates in home runs, with 16 and runs batted in with 54.
  • In all of the majors, Reynolds ranks 24th in homers and 25th in RBI.
  • Oneil Cruz is batting .247 with 16 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 24 walks.
  • Cruz ranks 36th in homers and 71st in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Connor Joe has 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 26 walks while batting .242.
  • Andrew McCutchen has eight doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 39 walks while hitting .225.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+200)
Oneil Cruz 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+170)
Joshua Palacios 0.5 (-250) 1.5 () 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+235)
Nick Gonzales 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+190)
Jared Triolo 0.5 (-160) 0.5 (-160) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+265)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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