Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Updated Sep. 23, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Oneil Cruz take the field against Garrett Mitchell and the Milwaukee Brewers on Tuesday at PNC Park. The favored Brewers have -139 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Pirates, who are listed at +119. Milwaukee (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The matchup's total has been set at 8.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Brewers vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, September 24, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers	-139	+119	8.5	+100	-120	-1.5	+115	-136

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Pirates 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Brewers 52%, Pirates 48%

Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Insights

This season, the Brewers have won 52 out of the 88 games, or 59.1%, in which they've been favored.
Milwaukee has a record of 23-16, a 59% win rate, when favored by -139 or more by sportsbooks this season.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.2% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
The Pirates have been victorious in 37, or 40.2%, of the 92 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 21 times in 54 chances when named as an underdog of at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

The Brewers have a 2-1 record from the three games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Brewers combined with their opponents to go over the run total four times.
The Brewers have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.1
HR	12
ERA	4.90
K/9	10.5

Brewers Player Insights

William Contreras' .285 average leads the Brewers this year. His resume also includes 23 homers and driven in 92 RBI.
In all of the majors, Contreras ranks 45th in homers and 22nd in RBI.
Contreras carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .412 with a home run, two walks and two RBI.
Willy Adames' 32 home runs and 110 runs batted in both pace his team.
Adames ranks 13th in homers and fourth in RBI in the bigs.
Jackson Chourio is batting .273 with 28 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 39 walks.
Brice Turang is batting .254 with 23 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 48 walks.

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Pirates have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	2.3
HR	7
ERA	4.66
K/9	8.8

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 22 home runs and 85 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .276.
Reynolds is 50th in home runs and 32nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Cruz is hitting .268 with 34 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 48 walks.
Among all MLB hitters, Cruz is 60th in home runs and 46th in RBI.
Andrew McCutchen has 18 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 58 walks while hitting .238.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa is batting .273 with 17 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 16 walks.