Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 25

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 25

Updated Sep. 25, 2024 6:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Pittsburgh Pirates will look to Oneil Cruz for continued offensive production when they hit the field against Willy Adames and the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday, in the second game of a three-game series at PNC Park. The Pirates have been listed as +134 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favorite Brewers (-158). Milwaukee (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. A 7.5-run over/under has been set in the matchup.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Brewers vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates game on September 24th, 2024.
ADVERTISEMENT

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, September 25, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers -158 +134 7.5 -119 -101 -1.5 +109 -129

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Pirates 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Brewers 52%, Pirates 48%

Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have won 53, or 59.6%, of the 89 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Milwaukee has a record of 16-7 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -158 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 61.2%.
  • The Pirates have been victorious in 37, or 39.8%, of the 93 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 11 times in 33 chances when named as an underdog of at least +134 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 42.7% chance of walking away with the win.
FINAL
MIL 1 · PIT 2
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Milwaukee Brewers
MIL
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Brewers went 3-1 across the four games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Brewers and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Brewers have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 11
ERA 5.00
K/9 10.2

Brewers Player Insights

  • William Contreras is the Brewers best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .283 rate along with 23 homers and 92 RBI.
  • Of all hitters in MLB, Contreras is 45th in homers and 22nd in RBI.
  • Adames has hit 32 home runs with 111 RBI. Both lead his team.
  • Adames is 13th in home runs and fourth in RBI in the majors.
  • Adames has two straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with three doubles, three walks and two RBI.
  • Jackson Chourio is batting .275 with 28 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 39 walks.
  • Chourio is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .316 with a walk and an RBI.
  • Brice Turang is hitting .252 with 23 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 48 walks.

Brewers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jackson Chourio 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+150)
William Contreras 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+125)
Willy Adames 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+130)
Brice Turang 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+240)
Sal Frelick 0.5 (-195) 0.5 (-195) - 0.5 (+255)

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and have gone 2-6 in those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents are 3-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Pirates are 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.2
HR 7
ERA 4.87
K/9 8.6

Pirates Player Insights

  • Bryan Reynolds leads the squad with a batting average of .276, and leads the Pirates in home runs, with 22 and runs batted in with 85.
  • Reynolds' home run total puts him 52nd in the majors, and he ranks 33rd in RBI.
  • Cruz is hitting .266 with 34 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 48 walks.
  • Cruz ranks 61st overall in homers and 48th in RBI this year.
  • Andrew McCutchen is hitting .238 with 18 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 58 walks.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa is batting .272 with 17 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 16 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nick Gonzales 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+185)
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+240)
Liover Peguero 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (-115) - 0.5 (+295)
Nick Yorke 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) - 0.5 (+240)
Oneil Cruz 0.5 (-170) 0.5 (-170) - 0.5 (+195)

Brewers vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates game on September 24th, 2024.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
share