Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 25

Updated Sep. 24, 2024 9:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Oneil Cruz take the field against Garrett Mitchell and the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday at PNC Park. Bookmakers list the Brewers as -151 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Pirates +128 moneyline odds to win. Milwaukee (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The contest's total has been listed at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Brewers vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, September 25, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers	-151	+128	7.5	-114	-106	-1.5	+110	-131

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Pirates 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Brewers 52%, Pirates 48%

Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Insights

The Brewers have won 52, or 59.1%, of the 88 games they've played as favorites this season.
Milwaukee is 20-10 this season when entering a game favored by -151 or more on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 60.2% chance to win.
The Pirates have come away with 37 wins in the 92 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 14 times in 40 chances when named as an underdog of at least +128 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 43.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

The Brewers have a 2-1 record across the three games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Brewers combined with their opponents to go over the total four times.
The Brewers' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.1
HR	12
ERA	4.90
K/9	10.5

Brewers Player Insights

William Contreras' .285 average leads the Brewers this year. His resume also includes 23 homers and driven in 92 RBI.
Of all batters in the majors, Contreras' home run total places him 45th, and his RBI tally ranks him 22nd.
Contreras has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .412 with a home run, two walks and two RBI.
Willy Adames has shown his power as he paces his team with 32 home runs and 110 RBI.
Adames is 13th in homers and fourth in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
Jackson Chourio is hitting .273 with 28 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 39 walks.
Brice Turang is batting .254 with 23 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 48 walks.

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Pirates and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Pirates are 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	2.3
HR	7
ERA	4.66
K/9	8.8

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates in home runs (22), runs batted in (85) and has a team-best batting average of .276.
In all of the majors, Reynolds is 50th in homers and 32nd in RBI.
Cruz is hitting .268 with 34 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 48 walks.
Cruz is 60th among all batters in the big leagues in home runs, and 47th in RBI.
Andrew McCutchen has 18 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 58 walks while hitting .238.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa is hitting .273 with 17 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 16 walks.