Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 26

Updated Sep. 26, 2024 12:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

William Contreras and the Milwaukee Brewers play Oneil Cruz and the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on Thursday. First pitch is at 12:35 p.m. ET. Oddsmakers list the Brewers as -118 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Pirates -101 moneyline odds. Milwaukee is favored on the run line (-1.5). A 7.5-run over/under has been set for the matchup.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Brewers vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, September 26, 2024 at 12:35 p.m. ET
Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: BSWI

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers	-118	-101	7.5	-111	-109	-1.5	+141	-168

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Pirates 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Brewers 52%, Pirates 48%

Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Insights

This season, the Brewers have won 53 out of the 90 games, or 58.9%, in which they've been favored.
This season Milwaukee has won 46 of its 76 games, or 60.5%, when favored by at least -118 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
The Pirates have been victorious in 38, or 40.4%, of the 94 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 31 times in 82 chances when named as an underdog of at least -101 or longer on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 50.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

The Brewers were the moneyline favorite for five of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-2 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Brewers combined with their opponents to go over the total four times.
The Brewers' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.2
HR	8
ERA	4.55
K/9	11.0

Brewers Player Insights

Contreras' .283 average leads the Brewers this year. His resume also includes 23 homers and driven in 92 RBI.
Including all MLB hitters, Contreras ranks 21st in batting average, 16th in on-base percentage, and 29th in slugging.
Willy Adames has put his power on display as he leads his team with 32 home runs and 111 RBI.
Adames is 13th in home runs and fourth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Adames enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .368 with three doubles, two walks and two RBI.
Jackson Chourio has 28 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 39 walks while batting .272.
Brice Turang is hitting .251 with 23 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 49 walks.

Brewers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Willy Adames	0.5 (-240)	1.5 (+120)	-	0.5 (+130)
Jackson Chourio	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (+105)	-	0.5 (+155)
William Contreras	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+110)	-	0.5 (+155)
Brice Turang	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+125)	-	0.5 (+255)
Rhys Hoskins	0.5 (-155)	0.5 (-155)	-	0.5 (+195)

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
The Pirates have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	2.3
HR	7
ERA	4.55
K/9	8.4

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds leads the squad with a batting average of .274, and leads the Pirates in home runs, with 22 and runs batted in with 85.
Among all hitters in the majors, Reynolds is 54th in home runs and 34th in RBI.
Cruz has 34 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 48 walks while batting .265.
Cruz ranks 61st overall in homers and 48th in RBI this year.
Andrew McCutchen is hitting .236 with 18 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 58 walks.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 17 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 16 walks while batting .274.

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Joey Bart	0.5 (-210)	1.5 (+145)	-	0.5 (+185)
Nick Gonzales	0.5 (-240)	1.5 (+135)	-	0.5 (+190)
Oneil Cruz	0.5 (-195)	1.5 (+120)	-	0.5 (+165)
Bryan Reynolds	0.5 (-220)	1.5 (+125)	-	0.5 (+200)
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (+115)	-	0.5 (+220)