Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 4

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 4

Updated Sep. 4, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Andrew McCutchen and the Pittsburgh Pirates will take the field on Monday at PNC Park against Corbin Burnes, who starts for the Milwaukee Brewers. First pitch is at 6:35 PM ET. The Pirates have been listed as +159 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Brewers (-188). Milwaukee is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this matchup (with -120 odds to go over and +100 odds to go under).

The Milwaukee Brewers will hand the ball to Burnes (9-7, 3.55 ERA), who is looking for win No. 10 on the season, and the Pirates will counter with Luis Ortiz (3-4, 5.08 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Monday, September 4, 2023 at 6:35 PM ET
  • Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers -188 +159 8.5 -120 +100 -1.5 -119 -101

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 6, Pirates 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Brewers 51%, Pirates 49%

Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have won 40, or 59.7%, of the 67 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Milwaukee is 5-5 this season when entering a game favored by -188 or more on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 65.3% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 110 games this year and have walked away with the win 47 times (42.7%) in those games.
  • This year, Pittsburgh has won 10 of 22 games when listed as at least +159 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 38.6% chance of pulling out a win.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Brewers were the moneyline favorite in four of their last 10 games, and they went 3-1 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Brewers and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.
  • The Brewers' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 11
ERA 3.74
K/9 10.4

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Brewers Player Insights

  • Christian Yelich has put up a team-best 70 runs batted in.
  • In all of the majors, Yelich is 92nd in homers and 49th in RBI.
  • Carlos Santana has totaled 70 runs batted in to pace his team.
  • Santana is 74th in homers and 49th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Santana carries a 12-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 games he is hitting .342 with two doubles, a home run, seven walks and five RBI.
  • William Contreras has accumulated a team-high batting average of .282.
  • Contreras has at least one base hit in 13 straight games. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .350 with four doubles, three home runs, six walks and nine RBI.
  • Willy Adames has hit 22 home runs to lead his team.

Brewers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Tyrone Taylor 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+155)
William Contreras 1.5 (+155) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+140)
Victor Caratini 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+155)
Mark Canha 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+170)
Carlos Santana 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+115)

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 5-4.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
  • The Pirates have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 8
ERA 3.76
K/9 6.9

Pirates Player Insights

  • Bryan Reynolds has racked up a team-leading 67 runs batted in.
  • Reynolds' home run total places him 74th in the majors, and he is 60th in RBI.
  • Reynolds has collected a hit in five straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a triple, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
  • McCutchen is batting .251 with 17 doubles, 12 home runs and 75 walks.
  • McCutchen is 163rd among all hitters in the majors in homers, and 177th in RBI.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes has put up a team-high batting average of .265.
  • Jack Suwinski leads the Pirates with 22 home runs.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ke'Bryan Hayes 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+195)
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+215)
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 (-196) 0.5 (-196) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+195)
Liover Peguero 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+245)
Alfonso Rivas 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (-115) - 0.5 (+320)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Brewers vs Pirates!

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