Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 5

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 5

Updated Sep. 5, 2023 6:06 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Carlos Santana and the Milwaukee Brewers will take the field at PNC Park against the Pittsburgh Pirates and Bryan Reynolds on Tuesday. Bookmakers list the Brewers as -177 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Pirates +150 moneyline odds to win. Milwaukee is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with -103 odds). The contest's over/under is set at 8.5 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Milwaukee Brewers looking to Brandon Woodruff (3-1), and Andre Jackson (1-1) getting the nod for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 6:35 PM ET
  • Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers -177 +150 8.5 -108 -112 -1.5 -103 -117

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Pirates 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Brewers 52%, Pirates 48%

Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have been favorites in 68 games this season and won 40 (58.8%) of those contests.
  • Milwaukee is 7-7 this season when entering a game favored by -177 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Brewers have a 63.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have been victorious in 48, or 43.2%, of the 111 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Pittsburgh has a mark of 15-15 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +150 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 40% chance of walking away with the win.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Brewers played as the moneyline favorite in four of their last 10 games, and went 2-2 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Brewers and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Brewers have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 8
ERA 3.62
K/9 10.7

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Brewers Player Insights

  • Christian Yelich has been the Brewers top run producer this season, leading the team with 70 RBI while hitting .276 with 17 home runs.
  • Yelich's home runs rank him 92nd in the majors, and he is 49th in RBI.
  • Carlos Santana's 70 runs batted in pace his team.
  • Santana ranks 76th in homers and 49th in RBI on the year.
  • William Contreras paces the Brewers with a .282 batting average.
  • Contreras will look to build on his 14-game hitting in this game. In his last 10 games he is batting .341 with four doubles, two home runs, four walks and eight RBI.
  • Willy Adames has hit 22 home runs to pace his team.

Brewers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Christian Yelich 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+170)
Willy Adames 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+150)
Carlos Santana 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+140)
Mark Canha 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+180)
William Contreras 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+155)

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • In nine games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Pirates had a record of 6-3.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Pirates and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Pirates are 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 9
ERA 3.70
K/9 7.3

Pirates Player Insights

  • Bryan Reynolds has sent home a team-leading 67 runs batted in.
  • In all of the big leagues, Reynolds is 76th in home runs and 62nd in RBI.
  • Reynolds carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .233 with three doubles, a triple, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
  • Andrew McCutchen has 19 doubles, 12 home runs and 75 walks while hitting .254.
  • Among all major league hitters, McCutchen ranks 164th in homers and 176th in RBI.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes leads the Pirates with a team-high batting average of .267.
  • Jack Suwinski has swatted a team-high 23 home runs.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+190)
Connor Joe 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+225)
Miguel Andújar 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+310)
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+210)
Ji-Hwan Bae 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+330)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Brewers vs Pirates!

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