Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 6

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 6

Updated Sep. 6, 2023 12:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Bryan Reynolds will lead the Pittsburgh Pirates into a matchup with William Contreras and the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday at 12:35 PM ET, in the final game of a three-game series at PNC Park. The Pirates are listed as +159 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Brewers (-189). Milwaukee (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 8.5 runs for this contest.

The Brewers will give the ball to Freddy Peralta (11-8) versus the Pirates and Colin Selby (2-0).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Wednesday, September 6, 2023 at 12:35 PM ET
  • Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers -189 +159 8.5 -106 -114 -1.5 -115 -105

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 6, Pirates 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Brewers 51%, Pirates 49%

Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 69 times this season and won 41, or 59.4%, of those games.
  • Milwaukee has a record of 5-5 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -189 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 65.4%.
  • The Pirates have come away with 48 wins in the 112 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 10-12 when favored by +159 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 38.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Brewers have a 2-2 record across the four games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Brewers combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total five times.
  • The Brewers' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 7
ERA 3.62
K/9 9.6

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Brewers Player Insights

  • The Brewers RBI leader this season is Christian Yelich, who has driven in 71 runs while hitting .274 with 17 home runs.
  • Yelich ranks 95th in home runs and 46th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Carlos Santana has collected 71 runs batted in to lead his team.
  • Santana ranks 78th in homers and 46th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Contreras paces the Brewers with a team-best batting average of .280.
  • Willy Adames has hit 22 home runs to lead his team.

Brewers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Carlos Santana 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+150)
Mark Canha 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+170)
William Contreras 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+160)
Christian Yelich 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+175)
Willy Adames 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+145)

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
  • The Pirates have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 10
ERA 4.20
K/9 7.4

Pirates Player Insights

  • Reynolds has driven in a team-leading 67 runs batted in.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Reynolds' home run total ranks 78th and his RBI tally ranks 64th.
  • Reynolds carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .268 with three doubles, a triple, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
  • Andrew McCutchen is batting .254 with 19 doubles, 12 home runs and 75 walks.
  • McCutchen is 167th among all batters in the big leagues in home runs, and 178th in RBI.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes leads the Pirates' lineup with a .267 batting average.
  • Jack Suwinski has launched a team-best 23 home runs.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+190)
Ji-Hwan Bae 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+300)
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+205)
Connor Joe 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+230)
Jason Delay 0.5 (+100) 0.5 (+100) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+360)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Brewers vs Pirates!

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