Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 6
Bryan Reynolds will lead the Pittsburgh Pirates into a matchup with William Contreras and the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday at 12:35 PM ET, in the final game of a three-game series at PNC Park. The Pirates are listed as +159 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Brewers (-189). Milwaukee (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 8.5 runs for this contest.
The Brewers will give the ball to Freddy Peralta (11-8) versus the Pirates and Colin Selby (2-0).
Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):
Brewers vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds
- When: Wednesday, September 6, 2023 at 12:35 PM ET
- Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brewers | -189 | +159 | 8.5 | -106 | -114 | -1.5 | -115 | -105 |
Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction
- Score Prediction: Brewers 6, Pirates 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Brewers 51%, Pirates 49%
Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Insights
- The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 69 times this season and won 41, or 59.4%, of those games.
- Milwaukee has a record of 5-5 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -189 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 65.4%.
- The Pirates have come away with 48 wins in the 112 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 10-12 when favored by +159 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 38.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Brewers Recent Betting Performance
- The Brewers have a 2-2 record across the four games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Brewers combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total five times.
- The Brewers' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.
Brewers Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 6-4 |
Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
HR | 7 |
ERA | 3.62 |
K/9 | 9.6 |
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Brewers Player Insights
- The Brewers RBI leader this season is Christian Yelich, who has driven in 71 runs while hitting .274 with 17 home runs.
- Yelich ranks 95th in home runs and 46th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
- Carlos Santana has collected 71 runs batted in to lead his team.
- Santana ranks 78th in homers and 46th in RBI in the major leagues.
- Contreras paces the Brewers with a team-best batting average of .280.
- Willy Adames has hit 22 home runs to lead his team.
Brewers Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Carlos Santana | 0.5 (-256) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+475) | 0.5 (+150) |
Mark Canha | 0.5 (-244) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+700) | 0.5 (+170) |
William Contreras | 1.5 (+185) | 1.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+160) |
Christian Yelich | 1.5 (+170) | 1.5 (+100) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+175) |
Willy Adames | 0.5 (-213) | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+145) |
Learn more about this Brewers vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.
Pirates Recent Betting Performance
- The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
- The Pirates have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Pirates Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 6-4 |
Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
HR | 10 |
ERA | 4.20 |
K/9 | 7.4 |
Pirates Player Insights
- Reynolds has driven in a team-leading 67 runs batted in.
- Among all hitters in MLB, Reynolds' home run total ranks 78th and his RBI tally ranks 64th.
- Reynolds carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .268 with three doubles, a triple, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
- Andrew McCutchen is batting .254 with 19 doubles, 12 home runs and 75 walks.
- McCutchen is 167th among all batters in the big leagues in home runs, and 178th in RBI.
- Ke'Bryan Hayes leads the Pirates' lineup with a .267 batting average.
- Jack Suwinski has launched a team-best 23 home runs.
Pirates Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 (-227) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+650) | 0.5 (+190) |
Ji-Hwan Bae | 0.5 (-227) | 1.5 (+150) | 0.5 (+1100) | 0.5 (+300) |
Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 (-227) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+205) |
Connor Joe | 0.5 (-145) | 0.5 (-145) | 0.5 (+850) | 0.5 (+230) |
Jason Delay | 0.5 (+100) | 0.5 (+100) | 0.5 (+1200) | 0.5 (+360) |
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