Brewers vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 9

Updated Aug. 9, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Elly De La Cruz and the Cincinnati Reds hit the field on Friday at American Family Field against Aaron Civale, who is the named starter for the Milwaukee Brewers. First pitch is at 8:10 PM ET for the first game of a three-game series. The favored Brewers have -153 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Reds, who are listed at +129. Milwaukee is a 1.5-run favorite (at +141 odds). The over/under for the contest is listed at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Brewers vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX

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Brewers vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, August 9, 2024 at 8:10 PM ET
Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers	-153	+129	8.5	-113	-107	-1.5	+141	-169

Brewers vs. Reds Prediction

Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Reds 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Brewers 54%, Reds 46%

Brewers vs. Reds Betting Insights

This season, the Brewers have won 36 out of the 62 games, or 58.1%, in which they've been favored.
Milwaukee has a record of 15-7, a 68.2% win rate, when favored by -153 or more by oddsmakers this season.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.5% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
The Reds have come away with 26 wins in the 58 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This year, Cincinnati has won eight of 16 games when listed as at least +129 or worse on the moneyline.
The Reds have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

The Brewers went 3-3 across the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Brewers and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.
The Brewers have a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	6.6
HR	16
ERA	3.99
K/9	9.4

Brewers Player Insights

William Contreras is the Brewers best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .285 rate along with 13 homers and 66 RBI.
In all of Major League Baseball, Contreras is 98th in homers and 29th in RBI.
Contreras has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .364 with four doubles, a triple, a home run, three walks and eight RBI.
Willy Adames' 20 home runs and 76 RBI both lead his team.
Adames ranks 25th in homers and 13th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Brice Turang has 16 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 35 walks while batting .259.
Jackson Chourio is batting .277 with 15 doubles, 14 home runs and 23 walks.
Chourio brings a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .391 with a double, four home runs, two walks and nine RBI.

Brewers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Garrett Mitchell	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+185)
William Contreras	0.5 (-255)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+120)
Rhys Hoskins	0.5 (-180)	1.5 ()	0.5 (+310)	0.5 (+135)
Willy Adames	0.5 (-220)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+145)
Jackson Chourio	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+175)

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

Over the past 10 games, the Reds have been underdogs twice and won both contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents are 7-2-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Reds have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.7
HR	19
ERA	4.60
K/9	10.3

Reds Player Insights

De La Cruz paces the Reds with 20 homers while posting a team-best batting average of .269.
De La Cruz's home run total places him 25th in the majors, and he ranks 84th in RBI.
Spencer Steer has driven in the most runs for the Reds with 67 runs batted in.
Steer ranks 76th in homers and 26th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
Jonathan India has 23 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 58 walks while hitting .255.
Tyler Stephenson has 18 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .247.

Reds Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Elly De La Cruz	0.5 (-215)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+200)
Jonathan India	0.5 (-205)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+235)
Noelvi Marte	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+225)
TJ Friedl	0.5 (-190)	0.5 (-195)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+175)
Ty France	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+205)