Cardinals vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 14

Updated Jul. 14, 2023 8:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The St. Louis Cardinals and Nolan Arenado head into the first of a three-game series against Jeimer Candelario and the Washington Nationals on Friday at Busch Stadium. The favored Cardinals have -195 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at +163. St. Louis is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 9.5-run total is set for this matchup.

The Cardinals will start Miles Mikolas (5-5) against the Nationals and Trevor Williams (5-5).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Cardinals-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Cardinals vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, July 14, 2023 at 8:15 PM ET
Where: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri
How to Watch on TV: BSMW

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Cardinals	-195	+163	9.5	-104	-116	-1.5	+106	-126

Cardinals vs. Nationals Prediction

Score Prediction: Cardinals 5, Nationals 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities:

Cardinals vs. Nationals Betting Insights

This season, the Cardinals have won 22 out of the 49 games, or 44.9%, in which they've been favored.
St. Louis is 1-3 this season when entering a game favored by -195 or more on the moneyline.
The Cardinals have a 66.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Nationals have come away with 33 wins in the 85 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, Washington has been victorious 17 times in 34 chances when named as an underdog of at least +163 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 38% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

The Cardinals won all of the three games they played as a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Cardinals and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Cardinals have a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5
HR	12
ERA	4.34
K/9	7.7

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Cardinals Player Insights

Arenado has accumulated a team-high 19 home runs and 62 runs batted in.
Among all hitters in MLB, Arenado ranks 14th in homers and seventh in RBI.
Paul Goldschmidt has a club-best .284 batting average.
Goldschmidt ranks 37th in homers and 53rd in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
Brendan Donovan has accumulated a team-best batting average of .284.
Nolan Gorman has 12 doubles, 17 home runs and 34 walks while hitting .229.

Cardinals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Lars Nootbaar	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+145)
Brendan Donovan	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+185)
Paul Goldschmidt	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (-120)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+125)
Nolan Arenado	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+105)
Willson Contreras	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+140)

Learn more about this Cardinals vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

The Nationals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and have gone 4-5 in those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Nationals have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4
HR	14
ERA	5.80
K/9	6.7

Nationals Player Insights

Lane Thomas paces the Nationals in home runs (14), runs batted in (49) and has posted a team-best batting average of .302.
In all of MLB, Thomas ranks 50th in home runs and 43rd in RBI.
Candelario is batting .261 with 27 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 30 walks.
Candelario is currently 57th in homers and 77th in RBI in the big leagues.
Luis Garcia has 12 doubles, four triples, five home runs and 19 walks while hitting .271.
Joey Meneses has 20 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 22 walks while batting .284.

Nationals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Lane Thomas	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+165)
C.J. Abrams	1.5 (+145)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+185)
Corey Dickerson	-	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+175)
Dominic Smith	1.5 (+205)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+170)
Jeimer Candelario	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+140)

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