Cardinals vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 15

Published Jul. 14, 2023 11:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Willson Contreras and the St. Louis Cardinals will square off against Lane Thomas and the Washington Nationals at Busch Stadium in the first of a two-game series, Saturday at 7:15 PM ET. The Cardinals are favored in this one, at -193, while the underdog Nationals have +163 odds to play spoiler. St. Louis is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 9.5-run total has been listed in this matchup.

The starting pitchers are Steven Matz (0-7) for the St. Louis Cardinals, and Jake Irvin (2-5) for the Washington Nationals.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Cardinals-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Cardinals vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, July 15, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET
Where: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri
How to Watch on TV: BSMW

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Cardinals	-193	+163	9.5	-111	-109	-1.5	+106	-127

Cardinals vs. Nationals Prediction

Score Prediction: Cardinals 6, Nationals 5
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities:

Cardinals vs. Nationals Betting Insights

The Cardinals have won 22, or 44.9%, of the 49 games they've played as favorites this season.
St. Louis is 2-4 this season when entering a game favored by -193 or more on the moneyline.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 65.9% chance of a victory for the Cardinals.
The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 85 games this year and have walked away with the win 33 times (38.8%) in those games.
Washington has a mark of 17-17 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +163 or worse on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 38% chance of pulling out a win.

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

The Cardinals played as the moneyline favorite in three of their last 10 games, and won every time.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Cardinals and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Cardinals have put together a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.0
HR	12
ERA	4.34
K/9	7.7

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Cardinals Player Insights

Nolan Arenado has a team-best 19 home runs and 62 runs batted in.
Arenado's home runs rank him 14th in MLB, and he is 10th in RBI.
Paul Goldschmidt has a club-best .284 batting average.
Goldschmidt ranks 39th in homers and 54th in RBI on the year.
Brendan Donovan leads the Cardinals with a .284 batting average.
Nolan Gorman is hitting .229 with 12 doubles, 17 home runs and 34 walks.

Learn more about this Cardinals vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

The Nationals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
The Nationals are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.0
HR	14
ERA	5.80
K/9	6.7

Nationals Player Insights

Thomas paces the Nationals with 14 home runs and 49 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .302.
Among all hitters in the majors, Thomas is 50th in home runs and 44th in RBI.
Jeimer Candelario is batting .261 with 27 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 30 walks.
Candelario is 59th in home runs and 78th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Luis Garcia has 12 doubles, four triples, five home runs and 19 walks while batting .271.
Joey Meneses has 20 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 22 walks while batting .284.

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