Cardinals vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 16

Updated Jul. 16, 2023 2:11 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The St. Louis Cardinals and Washington Nationals will play on Sunday at Busch Stadium, at 2:15 PM ET, with Paul Goldschmidt and Lane Thomas among those expected to step up at the plate. Bookmakers list the Cardinals as -178 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Nationals +151 moneyline odds. St. Louis is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +112 odds). The over/under is 9 runs for this game.

The starting pitchers are Jack Flaherty (6-5) for the St. Louis Cardinals, and Josiah Gray (6-7) for the Washington Nationals.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Cardinals-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Cardinals vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, July 16, 2023 at 2:15 PM ET
Where: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri
How to Watch on TV: BSMW

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Cardinals	-178	+151	9	-113	-106	-1.5	+112	-134

Cardinals vs. Nationals Prediction

Score Prediction: Cardinals 5, Nationals 4
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities:

Cardinals vs. Nationals Betting Insights

The Cardinals have entered the game as favorites 50 times this season and won 23, or 46%, of those games.
This season St. Louis has won four of its 11 games, or 36.4%, when favored by at least -178 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Cardinals, based on the moneyline, is 64%.
The Nationals have been victorious in 33, or 38.4%, of the 86 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This year, Washington has won 22 of 43 games when listed as at least +151 or worse on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 39.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

The Cardinals played four of their last 10 games as a moneyline favorite, and won all of them.
Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Cardinals combined with their opponents to go over the run total six times.
The Cardinals' ATS record is 8-2-0 over their past 10 games.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.1
HR	14
ERA	4.29
K/9	8.5

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Cardinals Player Insights

Nolan Arenado has put up a team-best batting average of .283, and leads the Cardinals in home runs (20) and runs batted in (64).
Arenado ranks 14th in homers and seventh in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Goldschmidt has a club-high .283 batting average.
Goldschmidt ranks 41st in homers and 55th in RBI on the season.
Brendan Donovan paces the Cardinals with a .283 batting average.
Donovan has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .217 with a triple, a home run and six RBI.
Nolan Gorman has 13 doubles, 17 home runs and 34 walks while hitting .230.

Cardinals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Paul Goldschmidt	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+160)
Nolan Arenado	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+105)
Lars Nootbaar	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+160)
Willson Contreras	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+140)
Brendan Donovan	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+210)

Learn more about this Cardinals vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 3-6.
The Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Nationals have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	14
ERA	5.14
K/9	6.2

Nationals Player Insights

Thomas leads the Nationals with 14 home runs and 50 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .300.
Thomas is 53rd in homers and 44th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Thomas brings a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .227 with a double, a walk and two RBI.
Jeimer Candelario is batting .260 with 27 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 30 walks.
Candelario ranks 62nd in homers and 80th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
Luis Garcia has 12 doubles, four triples, five home runs and 20 walks while hitting .269.
Joey Meneses is hitting .286 with 21 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 22 walks.

Nationals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Keibert Ruiz	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+175)
C.J. Abrams	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+190)
Corey Dickerson	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+200)
Joey Meneses	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+165)
Lane Thomas	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+180)

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