Cubs vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 4

Cubs vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 4

Updated May. 4, 2024 2:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Nico Hoerner and the Chicago Cubs face William Contreras and the Milwaukee Brewers at Wrigley Field on Saturday. First pitch is at 2:20 PM ET. The favored Cubs have -130 moneyline odds against the underdog Brewers, who are listed at +110. Chicago (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total for the contest has been listed at 8.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Brewers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Brewers vs. Cubs Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Chicago Cubs.
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Cubs vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, May 4, 2024 at 2:20 PM ET
  • Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
  • How to Watch on TV: BSWI
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Cubs -130 +110 8.5 -111 -109 -1.5 +155 -187

Cubs vs. Brewers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Cubs 4, Brewers 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Cubs 50%, Brewers 50%

Cubs vs. Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have been favorites in 11 games this season and won seven (63.6%) of those contests.
  • Chicago has a record of 6-1 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -130 on the moneyline.
  • The Cubs have a 56.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Brewers have come away with 11 wins in the 18 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Milwaukee has been victorious eight times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least +110 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 47.6% chance of walking away with the win.
FINAL
MIL 5 · CHC 6
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Milwaukee Brewers
MIL
Chicago Cubs
CHC

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

  • The Cubs went 1-2 across the three games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Cubs and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Cubs have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 6
ERA 3.48
K/9 7.9

Cubs Player Insights

  • Hoerner's .279 average leads the Cubs this year. His resume also includes zero homers and driven in seven RBI.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Hoerner's home run total ranks him 323rd, and his RBI tally ranks him 228th.
  • Hoerner carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with two doubles and three walks.
  • Christopher Morel has hit six home runs with 18 RBI. Both pace his team.
  • Morel is 24th in home runs and 37th in RBI on the season.
  • Morel heads into this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with three home runs, two walks and six RBI.
  • Mike Tauchman is hitting .276 with seven doubles, three home runs and 17 walks.
  • Michael Busch has hit six home runs to lead his team.
  • Busch is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with two doubles and a walk.

Cubs Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Christopher Morel 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+125)
Nico Hoerner 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+220)
Michael Busch 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+185)
Mike Tauchman 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+250)
Ian Happ 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Cubs vs. Brewers matchup on Fox Sports.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

  • In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Brewers had a record of 3-2.
  • The Brewers and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Brewers have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 10
ERA 4.75
K/9 7.7

Brewers Player Insights

  • Contreras leads the Brewers with 26 runs batted in while racking up a team-best batting average of .341.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Contreras ranks 41st in home runs and fourth in RBI.
  • Contreras carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .300 with two doubles, a walk and four RBI.
  • Willy Adames' six home runs are a team-high total.
  • Adames is currently 24th in homers and 15th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Brice Turang is batting .317 with six doubles, two home runs and 10 walks.
  • Rhys Hoskins paces the Brewers with six long balls.

Brewers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Tyler Black 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+180)
William Contreras 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+155)
Brice Turang 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+220)
Sal Frelick 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+270)
Jake Bauers 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+200)

Brewers vs. Cubs Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Chicago Cubs.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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