Cubs vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Cubs vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Updated Sep. 30, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Ian Happ and the Chicago Cubs will square off against the Milwaukee Brewers and Carlos Santana at American Family Field on Saturday at 7:10 PM ET. The Brewers are +106 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the Cubs (-126). Chicago is a 1.5-run favorite (at +132 odds). An 8.5-run over/under has been listed for this matchup.

The Cubs will start Jordan Wicks (4-1) against the Brewers and Eric Lauer (4-5).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Brewers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Cubs vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • How to Watch on TV: BSWI
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Cubs -126 +106 8.5 -121 +101 -1.5 +132 -156

Cubs vs. Brewers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 6, Cubs 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Cubs 53%, Brewers 47%

Cubs vs. Brewers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Cubs have won 53 out of the 92 games, or 57.6%, in which they've been favored.
  • Chicago has entered 63 games this season favored by -126 or more and is 41-22 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Cubs, based on the moneyline, is 55.8%.
  • The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 73 games this year and have walked away with the win 40 times (54.8%) in those games.
  • Milwaukee has a win-loss record of 24-26 when favored by +106 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 48.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

  • The Cubs played as the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and finished 4-2 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Cubs and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Cubs' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 6
HR 15
ERA 4.29
K/9 9.8

Cubs Player Insights

  • Cody Bellinger leads the Cubs with 26 home runs and 96 runs batted in, while putting up a team-best batting average of .307.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Bellinger is 38th in home runs and 22nd in RBI.
  • Nico Hoerner has 27 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 49 walks while hitting .284.
  • Of all major league batters, Hoerner is 235th in home runs and 93rd in RBI.
  • Happ is hitting .247 with 34 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 98 walks.
  • Seiya Suzuki has 30 doubles, six triples, 20 home runs and 58 walks while hitting .286.
  • Suzuki takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .421 with two doubles, a triple, three walks and four RBI.

Cubs Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Yan Gomes 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+190)
Cody Bellinger 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+160)
Christopher Morel 0.5 (-179) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+300) 0.5 (+175)
Nico Hoerner 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+225)
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+200)

Learn more about this Cubs vs. Brewers matchup on Fox Sports.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, the Brewers have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
  • The Brewers have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 10
ERA 2.63
K/9 8.7

Brewers Player Insights

  • Christian Yelich is hitting .277 with 34 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 77 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .369.
  • Yelich ranks 99th in homers and 66th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Santana has capitalized on opportunities as he paces his team with 85 runs batted in.
  • Santana ranks 70th among all batters in the big leagues in homers, and 43rd in RBI.
  • William Contreras leads the Brewers with a team-high batting average of .288.
  • Willy Adames has launched a team-high 24 home runs.

Brewers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Tyrone Taylor 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+175)
Christian Yelich 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+205)
William Contreras 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+185)
Mark Canha 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+210)
Victor Caratini 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+230)
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