Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 21

Updated Jul. 21, 2024 2:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Brandon Pfaadt will start for the Arizona Diamondbacks in the final of a three-game series against the Chicago Cubs and Nico Hoerner on Sunday at 2:20 PM ET. The Diamondbacks are +109 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Cubs (-129). Chicago is a 1.5-run favorite (at +166 odds). The total is 7 runs for this matchup (with -119 odds to hit the over and -101 odds on the under).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Diamondbacks game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Chicago Cubs!

Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, July 21, 2024 at 2:20 PM ET
Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
How to Watch on TV: MARQ

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Cubs	-129	+109	7	-119	-101	-1.5	+166	-200

Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Score Prediction: Cubs 5, Diamondbacks 4
Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
Win Probabilities: Cubs 52%, Diamondbacks 48%

Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

This season, the Cubs have been favored 42 times and won 20, or 47.6%, of those games.
This season Chicago has won 16 of its 23 games, or 69.6%, when favored by at least -129 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Cubs, based on the moneyline, is 56.3%.
The Diamondbacks have won in 23, or 44.2%, of the 52 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Arizona has a mark of 14-17 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +109 or worse on the moneyline.
The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

In the last 10 games, the Cubs were listed as the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only two times, and they split those games.
In their last 10 matchups, the Cubs and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Cubs are 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.8
HR	14
ERA	2.35
K/9	7.2

Cubs Player Insights

Ian Happ leads the Cubs with 58 runs batted in.
In all of the majors, Happ ranks 45th in home runs and 27th in RBI.
Hoerner is batting .258 with 18 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 32 walks.
Hoerner ranks 257th in home runs and 178th in RBI on the season.
Christopher Morel has launched a team-high 18 home runs.
Seiya Suzuki is hitting .265 with 14 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 28 walks.

Cubs Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Nico Hoerner	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+245)
Seiya Suzuki	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+175)
Michael Busch	0.5 (-195)	0.5 (-200)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+210)
Dansby Swanson	0.5 (-160)	0.5 (-160)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+220)
Christopher Morel	0.5 (-140)	0.5 (-140)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+195)

Learn more about this Cubs vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.5
HR	11
ERA	2.74
K/9	7.5

Diamondbacks Player Insights

Ketel Marte paces the Diamondbacks with a team-high batting average of .292.
Marte ranks 14th in home runs and 29th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Christian Walker has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 22 home runs and 68 runs batted in.
Walker is ninth overall in home runs and seventh in RBI this season.
Corbin Carroll has 16 doubles, six triples, six home runs and 42 walks while batting .211.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 14 walks while hitting .263.

Diamondbacks Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Gabriel Moreno	0.5 (-285)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+195)
Randal Grichuk	0.5 (-220)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+210)
Ketel Marte	0.5 ()	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+185)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	0.5 (-260)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+175)
Corbin Carroll	0.5 (-170)	0.5 (-170)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+275)