Cubs vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 23

Updated Aug. 23, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jake Burger and Miguel Amaya take the field when the Miami Marlins and Chicago Cubs meet on Friday at LoanDepot park. Bookmakers list the Cubs as -125 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Marlins +105 moneyline odds to win. Chicago is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for the matchup.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday, August 21.

Cubs vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, August 23, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Cubs	-125	+105	8	-117	-103	-1.5	+135	-159

Cubs vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Cubs 5, Marlins 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Cubs 52%, Marlins 48%

Cubs vs. Marlins Betting Insights

This season, the Cubs have won 29 out of the 58 games, or 50%, in which they've been favored.
Chicago has a record of 24-14 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -125 on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 55.6% chance to win.
The Marlins have been underdogs in 111 games this season and have come away with the win 42 times (37.8%) in those contests.
Miami has a win-loss record of 39-63 when favored by +105 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 48.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

The Cubs have a 5-3 record from the eight games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Cubs and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
The Cubs are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	10
ERA	3.17
K/9	9.8

Cubs Player Insights

The Cubs' best power option comes in the form of Ian Happ and his 22-home-run 69-RBI season, both team highs.
Including all MLB hitters, Happ ranks 115th in batting average, 38th in on-base percentage, and 47th in slugging.
Isaac Paredes is hitting .228 with 22 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 58 walks.
Including all MLB hitters, Paredes is 55th in home runs and 45th in RBI.
Nico Hoerner is hitting .254 with 25 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 36 walks.
Hoerner has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .222 with a double and an RBI.
Cody Bellinger is hitting .275 to pace his team.

Cubs Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Nico Hoerner	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+120)	-	0.5 (+175)
Ian Happ	0.5 (-215)	1.5 (+130)	-	0.5 (+200)
Seiya Suzuki	0.5 (-255)	1.5 (+105)	-	0.5 (+145)
Cody Bellinger	0.5 (-260)	1.5 (+115)	-	0.5 (+130)
Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+135)	-	0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Cubs vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 3-7.
The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
Over their last 10 games, the Marlins are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4.6
HR	11
ERA	5.83
K/9	7.6

Marlins Player Insights

Burger leads the lineup with a batting average of .249, while pacing the Marlins in home runs, with 25 and runs batted in with 57.
Burger's home run total places him 19th in MLB, and he is 69th in RBI.
Jesus Sanchez has 19 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 26 walks while hitting .239.
Among all major league batters, Sanchez ranks 92nd in home runs and 112th in RBI.
Xavier Edwards is hitting .345 with eight doubles, two triples, a home run and 26 walks.
Otto Lopez is hitting .241 with 12 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 14 walks.

Marlins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Xavier Edwards	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (+120)	-	0.5 (+250)
Otto Lopez	0.5 (-225)	1.5 (+150)	-	0.5 (+205)
Jesús Sánchez	0.5 (-235)	1.5 (+120)	-	0.5 (+160)
Jake Burger	0.5 (-265)	1.5 (+110)	-	0.5 (+155)
Connor Norby	0.5 (-205)	1.5 ()	-	0.5 (+175)