Cubs vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 23

Cubs vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 23

Updated Aug. 23, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Jake Burger and Miguel Amaya take the field when the Miami Marlins and Chicago Cubs meet on Friday at LoanDepot park. Bookmakers list the Cubs as -125 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Marlins +105 moneyline odds to win. Chicago is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for the matchup.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Cubs vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, August 23, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: BSFL
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Cubs -125 +105 8 -117 -103 -1.5 +135 -159

Cubs vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Cubs 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Cubs 52%, Marlins 48%

Cubs vs. Marlins Betting Insights

  • This season, the Cubs have won 29 out of the 58 games, or 50%, in which they've been favored.
  • Chicago has a record of 24-14 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -125 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 55.6% chance to win.
  • The Marlins have been underdogs in 111 games this season and have come away with the win 42 times (37.8%) in those contests.
  • Miami has a win-loss record of 39-63 when favored by +105 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 48.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
CHC 6 · MIA 3
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Chicago Cubs
CHC
Miami Marlins
MIA

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

  • The Cubs have a 5-3 record from the eight games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Cubs and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
  • The Cubs are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 10
ERA 3.17
K/9 9.8

Cubs Player Insights

  • The Cubs' best power option comes in the form of Ian Happ and his 22-home-run 69-RBI season, both team highs.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Happ ranks 115th in batting average, 38th in on-base percentage, and 47th in slugging.
  • Isaac Paredes is hitting .228 with 22 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 58 walks.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Paredes is 55th in home runs and 45th in RBI.
  • Nico Hoerner is hitting .254 with 25 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 36 walks.
  • Hoerner has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .222 with a double and an RBI.
  • Cody Bellinger is hitting .275 to pace his team.

Cubs Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nico Hoerner 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+175)
Ian Happ 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+200)
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+145)
Cody Bellinger 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+130)
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Cubs vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 3-7.
  • The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Marlins are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 11
ERA 5.83
K/9 7.6

Marlins Player Insights

  • Burger leads the lineup with a batting average of .249, while pacing the Marlins in home runs, with 25 and runs batted in with 57.
  • Burger's home run total places him 19th in MLB, and he is 69th in RBI.
  • Jesus Sanchez has 19 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 26 walks while hitting .239.
  • Among all major league batters, Sanchez ranks 92nd in home runs and 112th in RBI.
  • Xavier Edwards is hitting .345 with eight doubles, two triples, a home run and 26 walks.
  • Otto Lopez is hitting .241 with 12 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 14 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Xavier Edwards 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+250)
Otto Lopez 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+150) - 0.5 (+205)
Jesús Sánchez 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+160)
Jake Burger 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+155)
Connor Norby 0.5 (-205) 1.5 () - 0.5 (+175)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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