Cubs vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 2

Cubs vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 2

Updated Jul. 2, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Nico Hoerner and Nicholas Castellanos will look to continue their recent offensive production when the Chicago Cubs and Philadelphia Phillies take the field at Wrigley Field on Tuesday, at 8:05 PM ET. The Phillies are +101 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Cubs (-120). Chicago is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +157 odds). A 9.5-run over/under is listed in the game.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Cubs vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, July 2, 2024 at 8:05 PM ET
  • Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
  • How to Watch on TV: MARQ
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Cubs -120 +101 9.5 -102 -118 -1.5 +157 -189

Cubs vs. Phillies Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Cubs 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Cubs 53%, Phillies 47%

Cubs vs. Phillies Betting Insights

  • This season, the Cubs have won 18 out of the 37 games, or 48.6%, in which they've been favored.
  • This season Chicago has won 14 of its 24 games, or 58.3%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
  • The Cubs have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Phillies have won in six, or 50%, of the 12 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 3-6 when favored by +101 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 49.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
PHI 6 · CHC 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI
Chicago Cubs
CHC

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

  • The Cubs did not win a game as the moneyline favorite over the last 10 games in three tries.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Cubs and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
  • The Cubs' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 9
ERA 4.91
K/9 9.1

Cubs Player Insights

  • Ian Happ is batting .229 with 18 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 45 walks.
  • Among all hitters in baseball, Happ's home run total ranks him 59th, and his RBI tally ranks him 38th.
  • Hoerner is hitting .248 with 14 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 29 walks.
  • Hoerner ranks 229th in homers and 219th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Hoerner carries an eight-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 outings he is batting .282 with two home runs, four walks and three RBI.
  • Christopher Morel leads the Cubs in home runs (15) and runs batted in (45).
  • Cody Bellinger's .267 batting average paces his team.
  • Bellinger is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .190 with a walk.

Cubs Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Cody Bellinger 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+145)
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+145)
Nico Hoerner 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+210)
Ian Happ 0.5 (-160) 0.5 (-160) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+170)
Michael Busch 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+230)

Learn more about this Cubs vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
  • The Phillies are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 13
ERA 2.73
K/9 7.9

Phillies Player Insights

  • Alec Bohm has racked up a team-leading 68 runs batted in.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Bohm ranks 75th in home runs and third in RBI.
  • Bryson Stott is hitting .243 with 11 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 36 walks.
  • Stott ranks 198th in homers and 72nd in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Castellanos is hitting .231 with 13 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 24 walks.
  • Trea Turner has 14 doubles, three home runs and 12 walks while batting .332.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+150)
Trea Turner - 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+145)
Bryson Stott 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+190)
Alec Bohm - 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+145)
Rafael Marchan 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+280)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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