Cubs vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Updated Sep. 23, 2024 9:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Chicago Cubs and Dansby Swanson ready for the first of a three-game series against Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are listed as +100 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favored Cubs (-119). Chicago is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The contest's over/under is set at 8 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Nationals vs. Cubs Highlights | MLB on FOX

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Cubs vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, September 24, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: MARQ

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Cubs	-119	+100	8	-111	-111	-1.5	+140	-170

Cubs vs. Phillies Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Cubs 5
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Cubs 53%, Phillies 47%

Cubs vs. Phillies Betting Insights

This season, the Cubs have been favored 77 times and won 41, or 53.2%, of those games.
Chicago has a record of 37-27, a 57.8% win rate, when favored by -119 or more by oddsmakers this season.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 54.3% chance to win.
The Phillies have been underdogs in 32 games this season and have come away with the win 14 times (43.8%) in those contests.
This year, Philadelphia has won eight of 20 games when listed as at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 50% chance of pulling out a win.

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

The Cubs have a 5-5 record from the 10 games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Cubs and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
The Cubs' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	15
ERA	3.94
K/9	8.4

Cubs Player Insights

Ian Happ paces the Cubs with 25 home runs and 85 runs batted in.
Including all MLB hitters, Happ ranks 82nd in batting average, 31st in on-base percentage, and 44th in slugging.
Nico Hoerner is hitting .269 with 32 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 44 walks.
Of all major league batters, Hoerner ranks 293rd in homers and 196th in RBI.
Cody Bellinger is hitting .266 with 23 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 44 walks.
Isaac Paredes is hitting .234 with 24 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 74 walks.

Learn more about this Cubs vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Phillies have a record of 0-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
Over their last 10 games, the Phillies are 3-7-0 against the spread.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	12
ERA	4.76
K/9	9.1

Phillies Player Insights

Bryce Harper is batting .283 with 41 doubles, 29 home runs and 73 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .370.
Harper is 22nd in home runs and 29th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Schwarber has hit 36 home runs with 99 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
Among all MLB hitters, Schwarber is ninth in home runs and 13th in RBI.
Alec Bohm has 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 39 walks while batting .288.
Trea Turner leads the Phillies with a team-high batting average of .298.