Cubs vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Updated Sep. 26, 2024 8:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Nico Hoerner and the Chicago Cubs will play Elly De La Cruz and the Cincinnati Reds on Friday at Wrigley Field, at 2:20 p.m. ET. The Cubs have been listed as -145 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Reds (+125). Chicago is a 1.5-run favorite (at +150 odds). The over/under for the matchup is set at 6.5 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Cubs vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 2:20 p.m. ET
Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Cubs	-145	+125	6.5	-111	-111	-1.5	+150	-179

Cubs vs. Reds Prediction

Score Prediction: Cubs 5, Reds 4
Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Cubs 55%, Reds 45%

Cubs vs. Reds Betting Insights

This season, the Cubs have won 41 out of the 77 games, or 53.2%, in which they've been favored.
Chicago has entered 38 games this season favored by -145 or more and is 25-13 in those contests.
The implied probability of a win from the Cubs, based on the moneyline, is 59.2%.
The Reds have been underdogs in 89 games this season and have come away with the win 40 times (44.9%) in those contests.
This season, Cincinnati has been victorious 18 times in 35 chances when named as an underdog of at least +125 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 44.4% chance of walking away with the win.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

The Cubs played as the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and finished 4-3 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Cubs and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
The Cubs are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	11
ERA	4.19
K/9	8.1

Cubs Player Insights

Hoerner has 34 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 44 walks while batting .274.
Among all hitters in baseball, Hoerner's home run total places him 259th, and his RBI tally puts him 166th.
Hoerner has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .389 with two doubles, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
Ian Happ has hit 25 home runs with 86 RBI. Both pace his team.
Happ is 35th in homers in the majors, and 30th in RBI.
Cody Bellinger has 23 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 44 walks while batting .267.
Bellinger has at least one base hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .190 with a triple and five RBI.
Isaac Paredes is batting .239 with 25 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 75 walks.

Learn more about this Cubs vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

In seven games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Reds had a record of 2-5.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Reds have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	8
ERA	5.48
K/9	9.6

Reds Player Insights

De La Cruz paces the Reds with 25 homers while racking up a team-leading batting average of .261.
De La Cruz's home run total places him 35th in the big leagues, and he ranks 53rd in RBI.
Spencer Steer has made the most of his opportunities as he paces his team with 92 runs batted in.
Steer ranks 75th in homers and 22nd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Jonathan India is batting .246 with 28 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 77 walks.
Tyler Stephenson has 26 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 46 walks while hitting .260.