Cubs vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Updated Sep. 27, 2024 2:01 p.m. ET

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Jameson Taillon will start for the Chicago Cubs on Friday against Elly De La Cruz and the Cincinnati Reds. First pitch is at 2:20 p.m. ET at Wrigley Field. The Cubs are -126 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Reds (+106). Chicago is a 1.5-run favorite (at +174 odds). The over/under is 6.5 runs for the contest (with -115 odds to go over and -105 odds to go under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Cubs vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 2:20 p.m. ET
• Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Cubs vs. Reds Prediction

• Score Prediction: Cubs 5, Reds 4
• Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Cubs 55%, Reds 45%

Cubs vs. Reds Betting Insights

• The Cubs have won 41, or 53.2%, of the 77 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Chicago has a record of 33-19, a 63.5% win rate, when favored by -126 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The Cubs have a 55.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Reds have been victorious in 40, or 44.9%, of the 89 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 31-38 when favored by +106 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 48.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

CIN 0 · CHC 1

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Cincinnati Reds

CIN

+1.5

+108

O 6.5

Chicago Cubs

CHC

-1.5

-128

U 6.5

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

• The Cubs have a 4-3 record over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Cubs and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
• The Cubs have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Cubs Player Insights

• Nico Hoerner is batting .274 with 34 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 44 walks.
• Hoerner ranks 259th in home runs and 166th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Hoerner has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .389 with two doubles, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
• Ian Happ has shown his power as he paces his team with 25 home runs and 86 RBI.
• Happ is 35th in home runs and 30th in RBI on the season.
• Cody Bellinger is hitting .267 with 23 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 44 walks.
• Bellinger will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .190 with a triple and five RBI.
• Isaac Paredes is hitting .239 with 25 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 75 walks.

Cubs Team Props

Learn more about this Cubs vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• The Reds have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• The Reds have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• De La Cruz paces the Reds with 25 homers while recording a team-best batting average of .261.
• Among all hitters in MLB, De La Cruz's home run total is 35th and his RBI tally ranks 54th.
• Spencer Steer has driven in the most runs for the Reds with 92 runs batted in.
• Among all MLB batters, Steer ranks 75th in home runs and 22nd in RBI.
• Jonathan India is hitting .246 with 28 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 77 walks.
• Tyler Stephenson is batting .260 with 26 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 46 walks.

Reds Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs - 09/27/2024

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