Cubs vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Published Sep. 27, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Chicago Cubs and Nico Hoerner will take on the Cincinnati Reds and TJ Friedl on Saturday at 2:20 p.m. ET in the first game of a three-game series at Wrigley Field. The Cubs are -130 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Reds (+110). Chicago is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). A 7.5-run total is listed for this matchup.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Reds vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and the Cleveland Guardians.

Cubs vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 2:20 p.m. ET
Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
How to Watch on TV: MARQ

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Cubs	-130	+110	7.5	+100	-121	-1.5	+163	-198

Cubs vs. Reds Prediction

Score Prediction: Cubs 6, Reds 5
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Cubs 54%, Reds 46%

Cubs vs. Reds Betting Insights

This season, the Cubs have won 41 out of the 77 games, or 53.2%, in which they've been favored.
Chicago is 31-18 this season when entering a game favored by -130 or more on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 56.5% chance to win.
The Reds have won in 40, or 44.9%, of the 89 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 28 times in 61 chances when named as an underdog of at least +110 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 47.6% chance of walking away with the win.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

The Cubs went 4-3 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Cubs and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
The Cubs' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	11
ERA	4.19
K/9	8.1

Cubs Player Insights

Hoerner is batting .274 with 34 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 44 walks.
In all of Major League Baseball, Hoerner ranks 259th in home runs and 166th in RBI.
Hoerner takes a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with two doubles, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
Ian Happ has shown his power as he leads his team with 25 home runs and 86 RBI.
Including all MLB hitters, Happ ranks 35th in homers and 30th in RBI.
Cody Bellinger has 23 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 44 walks while batting .267.
Bellinger will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .190 with a triple and five RBI.
Isaac Paredes is batting .239 with 25 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 75 walks.

Learn more about this Cubs vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

The Reds have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and have gone 2-5 in those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
Over their last 10 games, the Reds are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	8
ERA	5.48
K/9	9.6

Reds Player Insights

Elly De La Cruz has a team-best batting average of .261, and paces the Reds in long balls with 25.
Among all hitters in the majors, De La Cruz's home run total is 35th and his RBI tally is 54th.
Spencer Steer has driven in the most runs for the Reds with 92 runs batted in.
Steer is currently 75th in homers and 22nd in RBI in the big leagues.
Jonathan India is hitting .246 with 28 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 77 walks.
Tyler Stephenson is hitting .260 with 26 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 46 walks.