Cubs vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Cubs vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 28, 2024 2:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Chicago Cubs and Dansby Swanson will take on the Cincinnati Reds and Elly De La Cruz on Saturday at 2:20 p.m. ET, at Wrigley Field. The Reds are listed as +108 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Cubs (-128). Chicago (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The contest's over/under is set at 7 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Reds vs. Cubs Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Cincinnati Reds and the Chicago Cubs.
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Cubs vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 2:20 p.m. ET
  • Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
  • How to Watch on TV: MARQ
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Cubs -128 +108 7 -119 -102 -1.5 +169 -205

Cubs vs. Reds Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Cubs 6, Reds 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Cubs 54%, Reds 46%

Cubs vs. Reds Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have been favorites in 78 games this season and won 42 (53.8%) of those contests.
  • Chicago is 34-18 this season when entering a game favored by -128 or more on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 56.1% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
  • The Reds have won in 40, or 44.4%, of the 90 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Cincinnati has a mark of 31-36 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +108 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 48.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
CIN 0 · CHC 3
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
Chicago Cubs
CHC

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

  • The Cubs have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Cubs and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Cubs' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 10
ERA 3.99
K/9 7.2

Cubs Player Insights

  • Nico Hoerner is hitting .276 with 35 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 44 walks.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Hoerner is 31st in batting average, 36th in on-base percentage, and 112th in slugging.
  • Hoerner has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .421 with three doubles, two home runs and five RBI.
  • Ian Happ's 25 home runs and 86 runs batted in both lead his team.
  • Among all major league hitters, Happ ranks 36th in homers and 31st in RBI.
  • Cody Bellinger has 23 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 44 walks while batting .265.
  • Isaac Paredes is hitting .238 with 25 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 75 walks.

Cubs Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Dansby Swanson 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+205)
Nico Hoerner 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+160)
Ian Happ 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+175)
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+135)
Kevin Alcantara 0.5 (-170) 0.5 (-170) - 0.5 (+225)

Learn more about this Cubs vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

  • In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Reds have a record of 1-6.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
  • The Reds have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3
HR 6
ERA 5.55
K/9 9.2

Reds Player Insights

  • De La Cruz leads the Reds with 25 home runs and has racked up a team-best batting average of .261.
  • De La Cruz ranks 36th in home runs and 57th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Spencer Steer has collected 92 runs batted in to pace his team.
  • Steer is currently 75th in home runs and 22nd in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Jonathan India is hitting .249 with 28 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 77 walks.
  • Tyler Stephenson has 26 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 46 walks while hitting .258.

Reds Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jonathan India 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+150) - 0.5 (+245)
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+185)
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+170)
Ty France 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+150) - 0.5 (+200)
Will Benson 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (-110) - 0.5 (+235)

Reds vs. Cubs Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Cincinnati Reds and the Chicago Cubs.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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