Diamondbacks vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Diamondbacks vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2023 9:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Kyle Tucker and the Houston Astros hit the field on Friday at Chase Field against Zac Gallen, who is starting for the Arizona Diamondbacks. First pitch will be at 9:40 PM ET for the first game of a three-game series. The Diamondbacks are favored in this one, at -123, while the underdog Astros have +103 odds to play spoiler. Arizona is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +162 odds). The over/under is 9.5 runs for the game.

The Diamondbacks will give the ball to Gallen (17-8) versus the Astros and Jose Urquidy (2-3).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Astros game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Diamondbacks vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

ADVERTISEMENT
  • When: Friday, September 29, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET
  • Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
  • How to Watch on TV: ARID
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Diamondbacks -123 +103 9.5 -111 -109 -1.5 +162 -196

Diamondbacks vs. Astros Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 51%, Astros 49%

Diamondbacks vs. Astros Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have won 43, or 59.7%, of the 72 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Arizona has a record of 38-20 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -123 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
  • The Astros have won in 27, or 64.3%, of the 42 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Houston has come away with a win 16 times in 28 chances when named as an underdog of at least +103 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Astros have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • The Diamondbacks went 4-3 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.
  • The Diamondbacks have a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 7
ERA 2.97
K/9 9

Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • Corbin Carroll leads the Diamondbacks with a team-high batting average of .289.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Carroll's home run total places him 44th, and his RBI tally ranks him 68th.
  • Carroll has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .364 with two doubles, a triple, a walk and three RBI.
  • Christian Walker has hit 33 home runs with 103 runs batted in. Both are team-highs.
  • Walker is 16th in home runs and 11th in RBI on the year.
  • Ketel Marte is batting .278 with 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 70 walks.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .263 with 34 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks.
  • Gurriel is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with .

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Alek Thomas 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+170)
Christian Walker 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+125)
Tommy Pham 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+145)
Corbin Carroll 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (-125) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+135)
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+190)

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Astros matchup on Fox Sports.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

  • In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Astros have a record of 2-1.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
  • The Astros have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 16
ERA 4.15
K/9 11

Astros Player Insights

  • Tucker has put up a team-high batting average of .282 while leading the Astros in runs batted in with a mark of 111.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Tucker is 28th in home runs and third in RBI.
  • Tucker has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .313 with three doubles, a home run, four walks and three RBI.
  • Alex Bregman is batting .259 with 27 doubles, three triples, 24 home runs and 92 walks.
  • Bregman ranks 51st in home runs and 22nd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Yordan Alvarez has 31 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
  • Jose Altuve is batting .316 with 21 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks.

Astros Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Chas McCormick 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+165)
Jose Altuve 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+175)
Alex Bregman 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+185)
Jeremy Pena 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+160)
José Abreu 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+140)
share