Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 25

Updated Jul. 25, 2023 9:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Ketel Marte and the Arizona Diamondbacks will look to do damage against Steven Matz when he starts for the St. Louis Cardinals on Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET, in the second game of a three-game series at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks are -112 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Cardinals (-108). Arizona is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +168 odds). The game's over/under has been listed at 9 runs.

The Arizona Diamondbacks will give the start to Merrill Kelly (9-4, 3.41 ERA), who is looking for win No. 10 on the season, and the Cardinals will counter with Matz (1-7, 4.67 ERA).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Cardinals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, July 25, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET
Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
How to Watch on TV: ARID

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Diamondbacks	-112	-108	9	-109	-111	-1.5	+168	-205

Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Prediction

Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 5, Cardinals 4
Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 54%, Cardinals 46%

Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Betting Insights

The Diamondbacks have entered the game as favorites 46 times this season and won 28, or 60.9%, of those games.
Arizona has a record of 28-18, a 60.9% win rate, when favored by -112 or more by sportsbooks this season.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 52.8% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
The Cardinals have been underdogs in 45 games this season and have come away with the win 20 times (44.4%) in those contests.
This year, St. Louis has won 19 of 43 games when listed as at least -108 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 51.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

The Diamondbacks did not win a game as the moneyline favorite over the last 10 games in three tries.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
The Diamondbacks have gone 2-8-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	2-8
Runs Per Game	5.2
HR	13
ERA	7.48
K/9	6.1

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Diamondbacks Player Insights

Corbin Carroll has launched a team-best 21 homers.
Carroll's home runs place him 16th in MLB, and he ranks 39th in RBI.
Ketel Marte has a club-best .292 batting average.
Marte ranks 32nd in homers and 39th in RBI in the majors.
Marte carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .474 with two triples, two home runs, four walks and five RBI.
Christian Walker leads the Diamondbacks with 21 home runs and 64 runs batted in.
Walker will look to build on his three-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .222 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 22 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 21 walks while hitting .252.

Diamondbacks Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Corbin Carroll	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+195)
Emmanuel Rivera	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+180)
Jake McCarthy	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+225)
Evan Longoria	0.5 (-189)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+160)
Christian Walker	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+125)

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Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

The Cardinals have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Cardinals and their opponents are 6-2-2 in their last 10 games with a total.
Over their last 10 games, the Cardinals are 8-2-0 against the spread.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	6.2
HR	13
ERA	4.60
K/9	7.8

Cardinals Player Insights

Nolan Arenado paces the Cardinals in home runs (22), runs batted in (77) and has put up a team-high batting average of .290.
In all of MLB, Arenado ranks 14th in home runs and third in RBI.
Arenado brings a hitting streak of eight games into this game. During his last 10 games he is hitting .375 with two doubles, three home runs, three walks and 15 RBI.
Paul Goldschmidt has 21 doubles, 17 home runs and 52 walks while hitting .285.
Goldschmidt ranks 32nd among all batters in the big leagues in home runs, and 54th in RBI.
Brendan Donovan is batting .287 with nine doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 33 walks.
Nolan Gorman is batting .243 with 15 doubles, 20 home runs and 37 walks.

Cardinals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Brendan Donovan	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+235)
Nolan Arenado	0.5 (-286)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+145)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+180)
Willson Contreras	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+165)
Andrew Knizner	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+260)

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