Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 16

Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 16

Updated Apr. 16, 2024 9:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Nico Hoerner and the Chicago Cubs are ready for a matchup with Ketel Marte and the Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET. The favored Diamondbacks have -118 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Cubs, who are listed at -102. Arizona (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. A 9.5-run over/under is listed for this matchup.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Cubs game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, April 16, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
  • Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
  • How to Watch on TV: MARQ
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Diamondbacks -118 -102 9.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +166 -200

Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 6, Cubs 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 51%, Cubs 49%

Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have won seven, or 63.6%, of the 11 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Arizona is 7-4 this season when entering a game favored by -118 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Diamondbacks, based on the moneyline, is 54.1%.
  • The Cubs have been victorious in six, or 50%, of the 12 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Chicago has a win-loss record of 5-6 when favored by -102 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
FINAL (10)
CHC 11 · AZ 12
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Chicago Cubs
CHC
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • The Diamondbacks have a 4-3 record across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
  • The Diamondbacks have a 5-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games (bookmakers set spreads in nine of those games).

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 7
ERA 4.15
K/9 9.2

Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. leads the Diamondbacks with four home runs and 18 runs batted in.
  • Gurriel is 13th in home runs and third in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Marte's .284 batting average paces his team.
  • Marte is 36th in home runs and 76th in RBI in the bigs.
  • Corbin Carroll has two doubles, a home run and nine walks while batting .231.
  • Carroll will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .238 with a double, a walk and three RBI.
  • Christian Walker is batting .281 with a double, three home runs and 11 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Christian Walker 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+110)
Corbin Carroll 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+160)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 1.5 (+140) 1.5 (-125) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+100)
Gabriel Moreno 1.5 (+205) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+185)
Eugenio Suárez 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Cubs matchup on Fox Sports.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

  • The Cubs have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Cubs and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
  • The Cubs have a record of 6-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 12
ERA 3.64
K/9 9.9

Cubs Player Insights

  • Michael Busch has posted a team- leading batting average of .327, while pacing the Cubs in long balls with six.
  • Busch's home run total puts him fourth in the big leagues, and he ranks 27th in RBI.
  • Busch has collected a hit in six games in a row. During his last 10 games he is batting .333 with three doubles, six home runs, five walks and 11 RBI.
  • Christopher Morel is batting .222 with a double, a triple, three home runs and three walks.
  • Morel is 36th in home runs and 51st in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
  • Ian Happ has three doubles, a triple and 11 walks while batting .219.
  • Cody Bellinger is hitting .180 with a double, two home runs and nine walks.

Cubs Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Yan Gomes 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+175)
Dansby Swanson 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+140)
Cody Bellinger 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+320) 0.5 (+115)
Nico Hoerner 1.5 (+145) 1.5 (-130) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+185)
Christopher Morel 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+290) 0.5 (+115)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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