Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 7

Updated Aug. 7, 2024 3:01 p.m. ET

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The Arizona Diamondbacks and Joc Pederson head into the final of a two-game series against Josh Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians on Wednesday at Progressive Field. The Diamondbacks are listed as -118 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Guardians (-101). Arizona is a 1.5-run favorite (at +144 odds). The total is 8 runs for the contest (with -108 odds to hit the over and -112 odds on the under).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Corbin Carroll crushes a two-run homer, extending Diamondbacks' lead over Guardians

Corbin Carroll crushed a two-run homer that extended the Arizona Diamondbacks' lead over the Cleveland Guardians.

Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, August 7, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: ARID

Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Diamondbacks 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 53%, Guardians 47%

Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Betting Insights

• The Diamondbacks have been favorites in 53 games this season and won 33 (62.3%) of those contests.
• Arizona is 31-18 this season when entering a game favored by -118 or more on the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have a 54.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 38 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (47.4%) in those games.
• Cleveland has a win-loss record of 13-19 when favored by -101 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 50.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

AZ 5 · CLE 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Arizona Diamondbacks

AZ

-1.5

-109

O 8

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

+1.5

-110

U 8

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks went 7-1 across the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to hit the over eight times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Diamondbacks' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Not only does Ketel Marte lead the Diamondbacks in hitting with his .300 average, he also is their foremost power hitter with 28 home runs and 78 RBI.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Marte ranks seventh in homers and ninth in RBI.
• Marte has collected a hit in seven games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is batting .342 with a double, six home runs, two walks and 14 RBI.
• Corbin Carroll is hitting .214 with 16 doubles, 10 triples, eight home runs and 49 walks.
• Carroll ranks 176th in homers and 140th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 17 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 17 walks while batting .266.
• Josh Bell is batting .239 with 18 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 36 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Guardians have a record of 3-4.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Guardians have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians with 29 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 94.
• Ramirez's home run total puts him fifth in MLB, and he ranks second in RBI.
• Ramirez takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .421 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
• Naylor is batting .247 with 18 doubles, 24 home runs and 41 walks.
• Naylor is 13th overall in home runs and fifth in RBI this season.
• Steven Kwan paces the Guardians with a team-best batting average of .334.
• Andres Gimenez is batting .256 with 17 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 17 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Corbin Carroll crushes a two-run homer, extending Diamondbacks' lead over Guardians

Corbin Carroll crushed a two-run homer that extended the Arizona Diamondbacks' lead over the Cleveland Guardians.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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