Diamondbacks vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 30

Updated Jul. 30, 2023 4:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Ketel Marte and the Arizona Diamondbacks square off against the Seattle Mariners and starter Luis Castillo on Sunday at 4:10 PM ET at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks are the favorite in this one, at -110, while the underdog Mariners have -110 odds to win. Seattle is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). An 8-run over/under is set in this game.

The Diamondbacks will give the ball to Merrill Kelly (9-4) versus the Mariners and Castillo (6-7).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Mariners game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Diamondbacks vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, July 30, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
How to Watch on TV: ARID

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
PUSH	-110	-110	8	-116	-104	-1.5	-179	+150

Diamondbacks vs. Mariners Prediction

Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 5, Mariners 4
Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 52%, Mariners 48%

Diamondbacks vs. Mariners Betting Insights

The Diamondbacks have entered the game as favorites 48 times this season and won 29, or 60.4%, of those games.
Arizona has a record of 29-20 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -110 on the moneyline.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 52.4% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
The Mariners have won in 16, or 44.4%, of the 36 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This year, Seattle has won 16 of 36 games when listed as at least -110 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 52.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

The Diamondbacks were favored on the moneyline in five of their last 10 games, and they went 1-4 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Diamondbacks are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4.3
HR	11
ERA	6.17
K/9	7.3

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Diamondbacks Player Insights

Corbin Carroll has 21 doubles, five triples, 21 home runs and 39 walks while hitting .288.
Among all hitters in baseball, Carroll's home run total ranks him 19th, and his RBI tally ranks him 45th.
Ketel Marte's .296 batting average is a team-high mark.
Marte ranks 40th in home runs and 53rd in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
Marte carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .400 with a triple and three walks.
Christian Walker leads the Diamondbacks with 22 home runs and 68 runs batted in.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .246 with 22 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 21 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+215)
Christian Walker	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+160)
Ketel Marte	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+195)
Corbin Carroll	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+175)
Alek Thomas	0.5 (-141)	0.5 (-141)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+295)

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Mariners matchup on Fox Sports.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

The Mariners have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
The Mariners and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Mariners are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.1
HR	18
ERA	4.34
K/9	10.4

Mariners Player Insights

Julio Rodriguez has swatted a team-high 17 home runs.
In all of the big leagues, Rodriguez is 40th in homers and 53rd in RBI.
Rodriguez has collected a hit in seven straight games. In his last 10 outings he is batting .286 with three doubles, four home runs, two walks and five RBI.
J.P. Crawford has a club-best .261 batting average.
Among all major league hitters, Crawford ranks 178th in home runs and 155th in RBI.
Ty France has 24 doubles, seven home runs and 23 walks while batting .247.
Eugenio Suarez has a team-leading 63 runs batted in.

Mariners Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Teoscar Hernández	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+175)
Julio Rodríguez	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+170)
Kolten Wong	0.5 (-135)	0.5 (-135)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+285)
Cal Raleigh	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+150)
Mike Ford	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+230)

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