Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 28

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 28

Updated Aug. 28, 2024 9:00 p.m. ET

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and the Arizona Diamondbacks take on Brandon Nimmo and the New York Mets at Chase Field on Wednesday, at 9:40 p.m. ET. The Mets have been listed as +105 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Diamondbacks (-125). Arizona is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the matchup has been set at 9 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this game between the New York mets and the Arizona Diamondbacks!
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Diamondbacks vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, August 28, 2024 at 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
  • How to Watch on TV: SNY
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Diamondbacks -125 +105 9 -102 -118 -1.5 +161 -192

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 4, Mets 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 55%, Mets 45%

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • This season, the Diamondbacks have won 41 out of the 66 games, or 62.1%, in which they've been favored.
  • Arizona has a record of 31-14 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -125 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Diamondbacks, based on the moneyline, is 55.6%.
  • The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 53 games this year and have walked away with the win 24 times (45.3%) in those games.
  • This season, New York has been victorious 18 times in 34 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 48.8% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
NYM 5 ยท AZ 8
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
New York Mets
NYM
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • The Diamondbacks played as the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and went 3-4 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Diamondbacks combined with their opponents to go over the run total seven times.
  • The Diamondbacks have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.0
HR 15
ERA 4.49
K/9 9.4

Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • Corbin Carroll has 16 doubles, 12 triples, 15 home runs and 56 walks while batting .223.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Carroll's home run total ranks him 100th, and his RBI tally puts him 89th.
  • Carroll takes a hitting streak of six games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is batting .256 with a triple, four home runs, three walks and nine RBI.
  • Gurriel is batting .275 with 20 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 23 walks.
  • Gurriel ranks 88th in home runs and 44th in RBI in the bigs.
  • Josh Bell is batting .243 with 22 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Joc Pederson is hitting .282 with 16 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 49 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Corbin Carroll 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+195)
Jake McCarthy 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+180)
Josh Bell 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+150)
Joc Pederson 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+120)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+165)

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and have gone 3-2 in those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Mets are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 15
ERA 3.37
K/9 7.6

Mets Player Insights

  • Francisco Lindor leads the Mets with 78 runs batted in while putting up a team-high batting average of .270.
  • Lindor is 17th in home runs and 23rd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Lindor has collected a hit in seven straight games. During his last 10 games he is hitting .357 with five doubles, four home runs, three walks and eight RBI.
  • Pete Alonso has shown his power as he paces his team with 28 home runs.
  • Alonso is 11th in home runs and 33rd in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Nimmo has 23 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 68 walks while hitting .230.
  • Jesse Winker has 21 doubles, 12 home runs and 56 walks while batting .261.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+160)
Francisco Lindor 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (-110) - 0.5 (+145)
Starling Marte 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+205)
Pete Alonso 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+165)
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+165)

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this game between the New York mets and the Arizona Diamondbacks!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Arizona Diamondbacks
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