Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Updated Jul. 29, 2024 9:00 p.m. ET

Mitchell Parker will start for the Washington Nationals in the first of a three-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks and Ketel Marte on Monday at 9:40 PM ET. The Nationals are +139 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favorite Diamondbacks (-165). Arizona is a 1.5-run favorite (at +122 odds). The total for the matchup is set at 9 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Monday, July 29, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
  • Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
  • How to Watch on TV: MASN2
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Diamondbacks -165 +139 9 -106 -114 -1.5 +122 -146

Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 6, Nationals 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 54%, Nationals 46%

Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Diamondbacks have been favored 48 times and won 28, or 58.3%, of those games.
  • Arizona has a record of 13-5 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -165 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.3% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
  • The Nationals have won in 39, or 44.8%, of the 87 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Washington has come away with a win 17 times in 41 chances when named as an underdog of at least +139 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 41.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
WSH 8 ยท AZ 9
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Washington Nationals
WSH
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • The Diamondbacks have a 3-2 record from the five games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
  • The Diamondbacks have a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 15
ERA 4.10
K/9 7.9

Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • The Diamondbacks leader in both batting average and long balls is Marte, who comes into the game hitting .296 and has left the yard 23 times while driving in 68 runs this season.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Marte ranks 14th in batting average, 20th in on-base percentage, and 11th in slugging.
  • Christian Walker's 23 home runs and 71 runs batted in both lead his team.
  • Walker is 10th in home runs in MLB, and eighth in RBI.
  • Corbin Carroll has 16 doubles, eight triples, seven home runs and 45 walks while batting .211.
  • Carroll will look to build on his five-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with two triples, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is hitting .267 with 15 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 14 walks.
  • Gurriel brings a six-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last 10 games he is hitting .282 with a home run and an RBI.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jake McCarthy 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+210)
Randal Grichuk 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+145)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+135)
Gabriel Moreno 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+175)
Ketel Marte 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (-120) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • In eight games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Nationals had a record of 4-4.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Nationals and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Nationals have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 6
ERA 5.26
K/9 8.3

Nationals Player Insights

  • C.J. Abrams has posted a team-leading 15 home runs and has driven in 51 runs.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Abrams is 51st in homers and 54th in RBI.
  • Luis Garcia has a club-best .276 batting average.
  • Garcia ranks 104th in home runs and 59th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Jacob Young is hitting .252 with 15 doubles, a triple, a home run and 20 walks.
  • Keibert Ruiz is hitting .217 with nine doubles, eight home runs and nine walks.

Nationals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Juan Yepez 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+185)
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+225)
James Wood 0.5 (-215) 1.5 () 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+220)
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+205)
Lane Thomas 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+180)

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Arizona Diamondbacks
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