Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 5

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 5

Updated Jul. 5, 2024 9:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Christian Walker and the Arizona Diamondbacks will meet Jurickson Profar and the San Diego Padres on Friday at PETCO Park, at 9:40 PM ET. The Diamondbacks are listed as -114 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Padres (-106). Arizona is a 1.5-run favorite (at +143 odds). An 8.5-run total is set in the matchup.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Rangers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Diego Padres and the Texas Rangers on Wednesday, July 3.
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Diamondbacks vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, July 5, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to Watch on TV: ARID
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Diamondbacks -114 -106 8.5 -108 -111 -1.5 +143 -171

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Diamondbacks 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 54%, Padres 46%

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have won 22, or 56.4%, of the 39 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Arizona has a record of 21-17 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -114 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
  • The Padres have been underdogs in 37 games this season and have come away with the win 19 times (51.4%) in those contests.
  • San Diego has a win-loss record of 19-15 when favored by -106 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The Padres have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
AZ 8 · SD 10
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
San Diego Padres
SD

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • The Diamondbacks were favored on the moneyline in three of their last 10 games, and they finished 2-1 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Diamondbacks have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 12
ERA 5.20
K/9 8.6

Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • The Diamondbacks best hitter thus far this season is Ketel Marte, who's hitting at a team-leading .288 clip along with 17 homers and 51 RBI.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Marte ranks 25th in batting average, 27th in on-base percentage, and 14th in slugging.
  • Marte takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with a double, six walks and three RBI.
  • Walker has hit 22 home runs with 62 RBI. Both pace his team.
  • Walker ranks fifth in homers and eighth in RBI among all major league batters this year.
  • Walker has five straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .650 with three doubles, five home runs, four walks and 11 RBI.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .267 with 14 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 13 walks.
  • Gurriel has at least one base hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .261 with two doubles, a home run and six RBI.
  • Corbin Carroll is hitting .210 with 13 doubles, six triples, two home runs and 38 walks.
  • Carroll has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .158 with a double and two walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Christian Walker 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+120)
Joc Pederson 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+155)
Ketel Marte 0.5 (-290) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+160)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+150)
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+215)

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
  • The Padres have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 13
ERA 3.84
K/9 8.3

Padres Player Insights

  • Profar leads the Padres with 56 runs batted in while racking up a team-high batting average of .317.
  • In all of the majors, Profar is 52nd in homers and 14th in RBI.
  • Ha-Seong Kim is hitting .225 with 10 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 47 walks.
  • Kim is 86th among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 75th in RBI.
  • Jake Cronenworth is hitting .260 with 18 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 27 walks.
  • Luis Arraez has 16 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 15 walks while batting .312.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+145) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+200)
Jake Cronenworth - 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+160)
David Peralta 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+180)
Jackson Merrill 1.5 () 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+150)
Manny Machado - 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+135)

Padres vs. Rangers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Diego Padres and the Texas Rangers on Wednesday, July 3.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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