Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Updated Sep. 27, 2024 9:01 p.m. ET

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Ketel Marte and the Arizona Diamondbacks square off against Jurickson Profar and the San Diego Padres on Friday at 9:40 p.m. ET. The Diamondbacks are -133 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Padres (+113). Arizona is a 1.5-run favorite (at +154 odds). The total is 9 runs for the matchup.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the San Francisco Giants and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 9:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to Watch on TV: ARID

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 5, Padres 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 53%, Padres 47%

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Betting Insights

• This season, the Diamondbacks have been favored 84 times and won 52, or 61.9%, of those games.
• Arizona has entered 50 games this season favored by -133 or more and is 34-16 in those contests.
• The Diamondbacks have a 57.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Padres have won in 30, or 53.6%, of the 56 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, San Diego has been victorious 11 times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 46.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

SD 5 · AZ 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

+1.5

+111

O 9

Arizona Diamondbacks

AZ

-1.5

-133

U 9

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks played as the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and went 4-4 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
• The Diamondbacks' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Marte paces the Diamondbacks with 35 home runs while racking up a team-best batting average of .294.
• Marte's home runs rank him 10th in MLB, and he ranks 21st in RBI.
• Marte has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double, two home runs, five walks and three RBI.
• Corbin Carroll is batting .232 with 21 doubles, 14 triples, 21 home runs and 70 walks.
• Carroll ranks 62nd in home runs and 61st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Carroll carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .267 with four walks and an RBI.
• Eugenio Suarez leads the Diamondbacks with 98 runs batted in.
• Christian Walker is hitting .252 with 25 doubles, 26 home runs and 55 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once.
• Over their last 10 games, the Padres are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Profar is hitting .282 with 29 doubles, 24 home runs and 75 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .381.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Profar's home run total ranks 41st and his RBI tally is 34th.
• Manny Machado has hit 29 home runs with 104 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• Machado ranks 23rd in home runs and ninth in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Jackson Merrill has 30 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 28 walks while batting .290.
• Luis Arraez leads the team in batting average with a mark of .312.

Padres Team Props

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the San Francisco Giants and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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