Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Updated Sep. 27, 2024 11:01 a.m. ET

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Ketel Marte and the Arizona Diamondbacks square off against Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres on Friday at 9:40 p.m. ET, in the first of a three-game series at Chase Field. The Padres have been listed as +106 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favorite Diamondbacks (-126). Arizona is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +160 odds). The total is 9 runs for the game (with -104 odds to go over and -116 odds on the under).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres' Fernando Tatis hits a solo home run to even the score at 3-3 against Dodgers

San Diego Padres' Fernando Tatis his a solo home run that evened the score at 3-3 against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 9:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to Watch on TV: ARID

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 5, Padres 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 53%, Padres 47%

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Betting Insights

• The Diamondbacks have been favorites in 84 games this season and won 52 (61.9%) of those contests.
• Arizona is 38-19 this season when entering a game favored by -126 or more on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 55.8% chance to win.
• The Padres have been chosen as underdogs in 56 games this year and have walked away with the win 30 times (53.6%) in those games.
• This season, San Diego has come away with a win 14 times in 29 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Padres have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Sat 1:40 AM

SDPA

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

+1.5

+106

O 8.5

Arizona Diamondbacks

AZ

-1.5

-126

U 8.5

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks played as the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-4 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Diamondbacks combined with their opponents to go over the run total six times.
• The Diamondbacks have a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Marte's .294 average and 35 homers both put him atop the Diamondbacks leaderboard this season.
• Among all MLB hitters, Marte is 11th in batting average, 11th in on-base percentage, and seventh in slugging.
• Marte brings a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a double, two home runs, five walks and three RBI.
• Corbin Carroll is batting .232 with 21 doubles, 14 triples, 21 home runs and 70 walks.
• Carroll ranks 62nd in homers in baseball, and 61st in RBI.
• Carroll has three straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .267 with four walks and an RBI.
• Eugenio Suarez has racked up a team-high 98 runs batted in.
• Christian Walker has 25 doubles, 26 home runs and 55 walks while batting .252.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Padres have a record of 1-2.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once.
• The Padres have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar is hitting .282 with 29 doubles, 24 home runs and 75 walks.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Profar is 41st in home runs and 34th in RBI.
• Machado has hit 29 home runs with 104 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
• Among all major league hitters, Machado is 23rd in homers and ninth in RBI.
• Jackson Merrill is batting .290 with 30 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 28 walks.
• Luis Arraez leads the Padres with a team-high batting average of .312.

Padres Team Props

Padres' Fernando Tatis hits a solo home run to even the score at 3-3 against Dodgers

San Diego Padres' Fernando Tatis his a solo home run that evened the score at 3-3 against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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